Sharps
Arbitrage, stale props, middling, hedging positions across sportsbooks and markets.
7 lessons
Live betting — momentum vs noise, the in-game workflow
Live betting is the fastest-growing market in American sports and the one where the most money is lost per dollar staked.
Edge decay — why your sweet spot stops working
Every edge you find has a half-life.
Middling — when to fish for the gap and what it costs
A middle is the most misunderstood position in betting.
Hedging a Polymarket position against a sportsbook line
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same outcomes — sometimes at meaningfully different prices.
Finding stale props — where the sportsbooks are slow
Player props are where most of the easy edge in sports betting lives right now.
Avoiding the limit — stake sizing + sportsbook rotation for arbing
Lesson #12 walked through your first arbitrage bet. This is the longer game: how to keep arbing without getting your accounts limited or closed.
Arbitrage step-by-step — your first $10 arb
Arbitrage is the only kind of bet where you can win money no matter who wins the game.
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