The FedExCup Fall is ending this week at The RSM Classic. It's been a series of seven events where golfers fought for their playing status in 2024. Some big names also showed up for a few rounds, even though they've already secured their status.What's important this week is the top 125 bubble. Golfers in this group on the FedExCup standings will get a PGA Tour card for 2024. They'll also get to play in all the big events. Another thing to watch is The Next 10, which is spots 51 to 60 in the standings. These golfers will be invited to the 2024 Genesis Invitational and the 2024 AT&amp;T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, which are the first two big events in 2024. Players might be aiming for other things too, like contracts, sponsor rewards, personal goals, or rankings. This is a big week&mdash;the final event of the 2022-23 PGA Tour. Lots at stake!This week's tournament is happening at Sea Island Golf Club, spread across two courses. The Seaside Course hosts most of the action with three rounds, provided players make it through the 36-hole cutline. Additionally, there's one round played at the Plantation Course.The Seaside Course is a par 70 covering 7,005 yards. It might seem long compared to last week's Bermuda course, but it's actually one of the shorter ones in the PGA Tour. It has nine par 4s under 430 yards, meaning lots of short shots with wedges and short irons. Golfers can sometimes skip using their drivers without falling behind too much. Water hazards come into play on about 13 holes.Earlier in October, the bermudagrass was all over the course, but now there's some ryegrass popping up in certain areas due to overseeding. The TifEagle Bermuda greens are larger than the average Tour greens and can get pretty fast.Even though it's labeled as a par 70, the PGA Tour's average par is closer to 69 for this course. Over the last five times this event happened, the field usually averaged -1.1 shots relative to par.The Seaside Course doesn't see many eagles, around 0.26 per 72 holes, making it one of the tougher courses for that stat among regular PGA Tour stops. For more eagle action, attention shifts to the Plantation Course, where players average about 0.48 eagles per 72 holes, making it one of the easier courses for eagles on the Tour.The Plantation Course is similar in yardage to the Seaside but has a par 72 layout, making it a bit shorter when adjusted for par. It features five par 4s under 385 yards, meaning even shorter hitters can have a good chance here.Looking at past winners, it seems precision matters more than power. Champions like Tyler Duncan, Austin Cook, Ben Crane, and Heath Slocum all lean towards accuracy in their game. That doesn't mean power players can't win, but they need to balance their game well here.When comparing other courses, ones like Sedgefield CC, Pebble Beach Pro-Am, PGA West, TPC River Highlands, and Quail Hollow show similar aspects regarding location, course length, scoring, and dealing with windy conditions.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 22%Putting 15%Driving Accuracy 22%Around The Green 15%Approach 26%The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>JT Poston</td><td>3000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.033</td></tr><tr><td>Russell Henley</td><td>1600</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.063</td></tr><tr><td>Eric Cole</td><td>3000</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.033</td></tr><tr><td>Davis Thompson</td><td>6000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.017</td></tr><tr><td>JJ Spaun</td><td>4500</td><td>Draftkings</td><td>0.022</td></tr><tr><td>Luke List</td><td>7000</td><td>Caesars</td><td>0.014</td></tr><tr><td>Mark Hubbard</td><td>7000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.014</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.197</td></tr></table>Top 5<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Callum Tarren</td><td>2200</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><td>Doug Ghim</td><td>1400</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.071</td></tr><tr><td></td><td></td><td>Total</td><td>0.12</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. JT Poston2. Russell Henley3. Eric Cole4. Davis Thompson5. Ludvig Aberg6. Sam Ryder7. JJ Spaun8. Luke List9. Alex Smalley10. Mark Hubbard11. Callum Tarren12. Doug Ghim13. Stephan Jaeger14. Alex Noren15. Brendon Todd16. Taylor Pendrith17. Brian Harman18. Kelly Kraft19. Denny McCarthy20. Martin Laird

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PGA RSM Classic Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

What makes the Butterfield Bermuda Championship an interesting event to bet on? To begin with, there are only two full-field PGA Tour events left in 2023. For golf fans and bettors who love the sport, the time between Thanksgiving and the start of the 2024 Tour season can feel like a long six-week gap. While we can expect lots of content about Tiger Woods in December, the truth is that unless you're really desperate to bet on the parent-child tournament, the golf season is almost over.Another exciting aspect of the tournament in Bermuda is that any of the 132 golfers in the field can win. The Port Royal Golf Course, where the tournament is held, is 6,828 yards long and offers a level playing field. In the four previous editions of the tournament, only Russell Knox and Brian Gay have made the cut every time. Brian Gay, the winner in 2020, has consistently performed well, never finishing outside the top 12 in his four starts.Putting is a crucial factor at Port Royal Golf Course this week, where the advantage of hitting long drives is not as important.At first glance, finding another player like Brian Gay might seem challenging, but the truth is that his skills are easily recognizable, and the past four champions at this tournament followed a similar path to victory. When you look at specific statistics, a clear trend emerges. Putting is much more important than the distance of your drives. The previous champions all ranked outside the top 30 in driving distance the year they won, but they all ranked inside the top 10 for putting.The Bermuda tournament doesn't provide ShotLink data, so we have to rely on the golf course design. Eight of the par-4 holes are less than 415 yards long. Add in three par-5s that most golfers can reach in a single shot, and players find themselves using a wedge to approach more than half of the holes. This is why 14 holes have a birdie rate of over 15%. If the wind doesn't disrupt play, we can expect low scores, with many golfers finishing 20 under par or better.The weather looks favorable on Thursday and Friday, with temperatures in the mid-70s, a breeze around 10-12 mph, and no rain. However, the weekend brings different challenges, with the wind picking up to 20+ mph on Saturday and rain and wind expected on Sunday. If you think the three par-3 holes that are over 215 yards long are challenging in the wind, imagine trying to control a dozen wedge shots. Complicate the situation with significant elevation changes on 11 of the 18 holes.The course also features 88 bunkers that define the landing areas and create additional obstacles. Another unique aspect of Port Royal is the layout of the holes. You won't play two consecutive holes facing the same direction, and the ever-changing wind conditions require constant decision-making.Scoring well is essential on the 11 holes where hitting the fairway and getting close to the hole is crucial. The short par-4s and par-5s offer the best chances for low scores. Hitting those fairways will be a bit more challenging compared to last week's event in Cabo San Lucas. Tiger's el Cardonal had 97 acres of fairway grass, while Port Royal has only 21 acres. This is why the cutline has been at par or higher in half of the events here. Players who struggle to control their shots will find themselves missing the weekend action.Our main criteria for picking the top performers require excellent recent form. We also consider a bit of course history and success on Bermuda grass. Playing well on this type of grass, not just for putting but also from the fairways, requires skill. Some players thrive on Bermuda grass, while others struggle. Our list of weekly winners typically includes players who perform well on this surface.Lack of accuracy may penalize players in a different way. Bermuda has faced several storms in the last three months, so while the playing areas of the course will be in good condition, going off the fairways and green complexes could lead to unpredictable situations. TThe model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 22%Putting 19%Driving Accuracy 19%Around The Green 15%Approach 26%Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 53.9% ROI. The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Adam Scott</td><td>1600</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.063</td></tr><tr><td>Luke List</td><td>3000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.033</td></tr><tr><td>Lucas Glover</td><td>2500</td><td>BetMgm</td><td>0.040</td></tr><tr><td>Doug Ghim</td><td>3300</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.030</td></tr><tr><td>Alex Noren</td><td>2200</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><td>Taylor Pendrith</td><td>2200</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.257</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Adam Scott2. Luke List3. Lucas Glover4. Alex Smalley5. Peter Kuest6. Brendon Todd7. Doug Ghim8. Alex Noren9. Taylor Pendrith10. MJ Daffue11. Mark Hubbard12. Akshay Bhatia13. CT Pan14. Adam Long15. Martin Laird16. Kelly Kraft17. Dylan Wu18. Nick Hardy19. Ben Griffin20. Jason Dufner

PGA Butterfield Bermuda Championship Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

The host venue for this week's event is the Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club. Let's take a closer look at what makes this golf course unique and the challenges it presents to the players.Course Characteristics:Accordia Golf Narashino is a classical-style golf course with a par of 70. From the longest tees, it stretches to 7,079 yards. What's interesting about this course is that it offers a good mix of shorter and longer holes. There are four par-4 holes that are under 405 yards, providing opportunities for birdies, but there are also four par-4 holes that are over 485 yards, demanding precision and power.Previous Winners:Notable golfers have claimed victory at this course. Tiger Woods won the inaugural edition in 2019 with an impressive 19-under score. Hideki Matsuyama, a local favorite, dominated the field in 2021, winning by five shots with a 15-under total. Last year, Keegan Bradley also triumphed with a 15-under score. While it may not be the easiest course, scoring well is possible. Weather conditions, especially rain, have influenced the difficulty of play in the past. Fortunately, the current forecast appears to be relatively dry, allowing the course to be set up as intended.Course Features:Off the tee, golfers encounter tree-lined fairways with some tricky doglegs to navigate. The strategic layout has been compared to tree-lined courses in various regions. On approach shots, golfers will find zoysiagrass in the fairways and rough, making for challenging lies. The course has two sets of greens for each hole, but only one is used during this event, offering a free drop if the wrong green is reached.Putting Challenge:The bentgrass putting surfaces are a highlight of this course. They are finely maintained, heavily sloped, and lightning-fast. Some have even compared them to Augusta National, known for its challenging greens. The combination of speedy greens and bentgrass surfaces adds a layer of complexity to the game.Course Correlations:In terms of course comparisons, Augusta National, TPC Scottsdale, Muirfield Village, TPC Sawgrass, and Waialae CC have similarities with Accordia Golf Narashino. The common factors are the speedy greens and bentgrass putting surfaces, which present a unique challenge to the players.Conclusion:The Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club course offers a blend of challenges and opportunities, making it an exciting venue for professional golfers. As they navigate the tree-lined fairways and tackle the fast, sloping greens, the players will need both skill and strategy to succeed on this classical-style course.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 31%Putting 17%Driving Accuracy 14%Around The Green 14%Approach 24%Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 53.9% ROI. The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><td>Golfer</td><td>Odds</td><td>Book</td><td>Units Risked</td></tr><tr><td>Adam Scott</td><td>2800</td><td>BetMgm</td><td>0.036</td></tr><tr><td>Cam Davis</td><td>2200</td><td>BetMgm</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><td>Callum Tarren</td><td>8000</td><td>BetMgm</td><td>0.013</td></tr><tr><td>Keegan Bradley</td><td>2200</td><td>BetMgm</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><td>Eric Cole</td><td>3500</td><td>Draftkings</td><td>0.029</td></tr><tr><td>Adam Svensson</td><td>4500</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.022</td></tr><tr><td>Alex Noren</td><td>5000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.020</td></tr><tr><td>Garrick Higgo</td><td>7500</td><td>BetMgm</td><td>0.013</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.223</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Adam Scott2. Cameron Davis3. Callum Tarren4. Rickie Fowler5. Xander Schauffele6. Keegan Bradley7. Cameron Champ8. Sahuth Theegala9. Collin Morikawa10. Eric Cole11. Min Woo Lee12. Adam Svensson13. Adam Schenk14. Alex Noren15. Nick Hardy16. Garrick Higgo17. Sam Ryder18. Vincent Norman19. JJ Spaun20. Beau Hossler

PGA Zozo Championship Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

We hit yet another PGA winner with Luke List coming through for us last week. The model has been excellent for the PGA.The Shriners Children&rsquo;s Open at the beautiful TPC Summerlin is next on the schedule. While this year's field might not have all the firepower of previous editions, there's still plenty to look forward to. The event has a special treat for fans, with LPGA star Lexi Thompson accepting a sponsor's invite to compete alongside the men, promising a unique showdown.This week, we'll see a slightly smaller field of 132 golfers (compared to 144 last week), and the pressure is on. The low 65 and ties will make their way through the 36-hole cutline.Let's take a closer look at the host venue, TPC Summerlin. This course has been a part of the event for decades, but has been the solo host since 2008. Designed by Bobby Weed with consultation from Fuzzy Zoeller, it offers a par 71 layout stretched over 7,255 yards. Don't let the yardage fool you, though &ndash; the altitude and firm conditions mean the course plays shorter than it seems. You'll find more approach shots in the 100-to-150-yard range compared to your average PGA Tour stop.Off the tee, you'll have choices to make. As Webb Simpson once noted, this course demands strategy. It features doglegs, run-outs, and bunkers that require thoughtful navigation. On the other hand, golfers like Patrick Cantlay, who have a strong driver game, have thrived here as they gain more wedges and short iron opportunities. In essence, TPC Summerlin offers a balanced challenge, allowing both power hitters and strategic players to shine.Regarding the turf, the fairways have been resurfaced with Bandera Bermuda, while the greens boast Dominator bentgrass. This change from the previous year's edition brings some consistency to the playing surface.If you want insights into correlated success on the PGA Tour, consider courses like Sedgefield CC, PGA West, TPC River Highlands, Pebble Beach Pro-Am rota, and TPC Scottsdale. These courses share common characteristics of being located in the West, offering a scoring-friendly environment, and being relatively shorter in length. So get ready for the Shriners Children&rsquo;s Open at TPC Summerlin &ndash; it's going to be a thrilling ride!The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 24%Putting 19%Driving Accuracy 15%Around The Green 15%Approach 27%Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 64.5% ROI. <table><tr><th>Date</th><th>Tournament</th><th>Total Risk Units</th><th>P/L</th></tr><tr><td>18-May</td><td>PGA Championship</td><td>0.193</td><td>-0.193</td></tr><tr><td>25-May</td><td>Schwab</td><td>0.245</td><td>-0.245</td></tr><tr><td>1-Jun</td><td>The Memorial</td><td>0.401</td><td>0.655</td></tr><tr><td>8-Jun</td><td>RBC Canadian Open</td><td>0.461</td><td>-0.461</td></tr><tr><td>15-Jun</td><td>US Open</td><td>0.381</td><td>0.702</td></tr><tr><td>22-Jun</td><td>Travelers</td><td>0.313</td><td>-0.313</td></tr><tr><td>29-Jun</td><td>Rocket Mortgage</td><td>0.57</td><td>0.501</td></tr><tr><td>13-Jul</td><td>Scottish Open</td><td>0.32</td><td>0.791</td></tr><tr><td>20-Jul</td><td>The Open</td><td>0.546</td><td>-0.546</td></tr><tr><td>27-Jul</td><td>Twin Cities</td><td>0.496</td><td>-0.496</td></tr><tr><td>3-Aug</td><td>Wyndham</td><td>0.381</td><td>0.632</td></tr><tr><td>10-Aug</td><td>St Jude</td><td>0.258</td><td>0.753</td></tr><tr><td>17-Aug</td><td>BMW</td><td>0.312</td><td>0.751</td></tr><tr><td>8-Oct</td><td>Sanderson Farms</td><td>0.241</td><td>0.779</td></tr><tr><td></td><td></td><td>5.118</td><td>3.31</td></tr></table>The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Cam Davis</td><td>2200</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><td>Ludvig Aberg</td><td>1200</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.083</td></tr><tr><td>JT Poston</td><td>3000</td><td>BetMgM</td><td>0.033</td></tr><tr><td>Luke List</td><td>6000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.017</td></tr><tr><td>Adam Svensson</td><td>4500</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.022</td></tr><tr><td>Davis Thompson</td><td>5500</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.018</td></tr><tr><td>Eric Cole</td><td>3500</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.029</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.248</td></tr></table>Top 5<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Callum Tarren</td><td>2000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.05</td></tr><tr><td>Peter Kuest</td><td>1800</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.06</td></tr><tr><td></td><td></td><td>Total</td><td>0.11</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Cameron Davis2. Callum Tarren3. Ludvig Aberg4. J.T. Poston5. Alex Smalley6. Peter Kuest7. Luke List8. Adam Schenk9. Troy Merritt10. Cameron Champ11. Adam Svensson12. Davis Thompson13. Nicolai Hojgaard14. Sam Ryder15. Eric Cole16. MJ Daffue17. Joseph Bramlett18. Nick Hardy19. Kevin Roy20. Andrew Putnam

PGA Shriners Childrens Open Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

Welcome to the 2023 Sanderson Farms PGA Championship. The PGA Tour is back in full swing, and this year's Sanderson Farms Championship promises to be nothing short of spectacular.Get ready for a high-stakes showdown at the Country Club of Jackson as some of the most formidable golfers on the planet descend upon the course. Notably, five players who secured top-50 finishes in the FedEx Cup standings are slated to compete. Leading the pack is the defending champion, Mackenzie Hughes, who leads the way in the fall rankings.Hughes, who felt overlooked after missing the 2022 Presidents Cup team, channeled that disappointment into a triumphant performance in Jackson, clinching victory in a dramatic playoff against Sepp Straka. Currently positioned at 51st in the FedEx Cup standings, Hughes is well on track to secure a spot in the prestigious first two signature events of 2024. But there's more at stake than just tournament qualifications, as winning the FedEx Cup Fall also guarantees exemptions for major championships - a tantalizing prospect for players like Adam Svensson, Eric Cole, Tom Hoge, and the promising Ludvig Aberg, all already confirmed for next year's signature events.Speaking of Aberg, he's undoubtedly the biggest name in the tournament lineup. Fresh from an impressive 2-point performance at the 2023 Ryder Cup and a victory on the DP World Tour, the 23-year-old phenom is eager to extend his success to the PGA Tour. Although he currently sits at 136th in the FedEx Cup standings, Aberg boasts full status for the 2024 season through the PGA Tour U. However, there's still a compelling reason for him to compete this week.Aberg finds himself on the outside looking in for the PGA Tour's flagship event, the Players Championship, which grants entry to the top 125 players in the FedEx Cup. Additionally, the world No. 80 has yet to secure his invitation to the prestigious Masters. To remedy this, Aberg must either clinch a victory or ascend within the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings by year's end, offering a potential journey to Augusta National in April.Intrigue, drama, and intense competition await at the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, where top players vie for coveted spots in signature events and major championships. Sports bettors, get ready to place your bets and follow the action closely, as this tournament could be a game-changer for both the players and those looking to wager on the thrilling world of professional golf. Don't miss a moment of the excitement as we delve into the Sanderson Farms PGA event for sports betting enthusiasts.The model breakdown for this course is as followsDriving Distance 33%Putting 17%Driving Accuracy 13%Around The Green 13%Approach 23%Since the model was updated before the PGA Championships, it has returned a 51.9% ROI. <table><tr><th>Date</th><th>Tournament</th><th>Total Risk Units</th><th>Total Return Units</th><th></th><th></th></tr><tr><td>18-May</td><td>PGA Championship</td><td>0.193</td><td>-0.193</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>25-May</td><td>Schwab</td><td>0.245</td><td>-0.245</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>1-Jun</td><td>The Memorial</td><td>0.401</td><td>0.655</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>8-Jun</td><td>RBC Canadian Open</td><td>0.461</td><td>-0.461</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>15-Jun</td><td>US Open</td><td>0.381</td><td>0.702</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>22-Jun</td><td>Travelers</td><td>0.313</td><td>-0.313</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>29-Jun</td><td>Rocket Mortgage</td><td>0.57</td><td>0.501</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>13-Jul</td><td>Scottish Open</td><td>0.32</td><td>0.791</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>20-Jul</td><td>The Open</td><td>0.546</td><td>-0.546</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>27-Jul</td><td>Twin Cities</td><td>0.496</td><td>-0.496</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>3-Aug</td><td>Wyndham</td><td>0.381</td><td>0.632</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>10-Aug</td><td>St Jude</td><td>0.258</td><td>0.753</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>17-Aug</td><td>BMW</td><td>0.312</td><td>0.751</td><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td></td><td>4.877</td><td>2.531</td><td>ROI</td><td>51.90%</td></tr></table>The emphasis is on the last 24 rounds the golfer has played. These are the best values, not necessarily the best golfers this week. As always, I play these bets to win 1 unit. It limits your risk, which is what we want to do on longshot futures types of bets.To Win<table><tr><th>Golfer</th><th>Odds</th><th>Book</th><th>Units Risked</th></tr><tr><td>Peter Kuest</td><td>7000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.014</td></tr><tr><td>Callum Tarren</td><td>5000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.020</td></tr><tr><td>Ludvig Aberg</td><td>1200</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.083</td></tr><tr><td>MJ Daffue</td><td>7000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.014</td></tr><tr><td>Stephan Jaegar</td><td>2000</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>0.050</td></tr><tr><td>Luke List</td><td>5000</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.020</td></tr><tr><td>Davis Thompson</td><td>4500</td><td>All Books</td><td>0.022</td></tr><tr><td>Alex Noren</td><td>6000</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>0.017</td></tr><tr><td> </td><td> </td><td> Total</td><td>0.241</td></tr></table>Here are the top 20 golfers from my model this week in order from best to worst.1. Peter Kuest2. Callum Tarren3. Ludvig Aberg4. MJ Daffue5. Stephan Jaeger6. Nick Hardy7. Kevin Yu8. Luke List9. Kevin Roy10. Davis Thompson11. Kevin Streelman12. Garrick Higgo13. Doug Ghim14. Cameron Champ15. Mark Hubbard16. Alex Smalley17. Alex Noren18. Adam Svensson19. Charley Hoffman20. Seonghyeon Kim

PGA Sanderson Farms Championship Best Bets Plus Top 20 Model Picks For DFS

We are up 1.5 units for these matches. Let's try to finish strong with some 3 way match bets for the final day of what has been a boring Ryder Cup.MatchupsScheffler +140 3 way line Hovland -120 3 way line Homa +100 3 way line Hojgaard +175 3 way line Lowry +115 3 way line Fowler +180 3 way line Clark -110 3 way line

Ryder Cup USA vs Europe Match Bets Day 3

Val&rsquo;s Big Payday Parlay, pays +960Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +180 &amp; Carolina Hurricanes/Winnipeg Jets O6 -115The Canes are in Winnipeg to face the Jets tonight, the Canes have really been lighting up the lamp of late. They scored 3+ goals in 6 of their last 7 games winning 5 of them and all 5 wins were by multiple goals. The Jets have already confirmed backup goalie L. Broissoit for tonight which also helps both plays here. The Jets have also struggled on the offensive end scoring a combined 6 goals over their last 4 games. I think the Jets can get 2 goals here and the Canes should be able to keep their offensive touch going versus Broissoit in a high scoring game. Phoenix Coyotes -120The Yotes host the Caps in the final game of the Caps 5 game west coast road trip. The Caps sit at 2-2 on the trip and I think the Caps will look past this game and are thinking of getting back home. The Yotes look to have finally stopped going with a split in goal between C. Ingram and K. Vejmelka as Ingram will get another start tonight as he has been the better performer of the two. The Yotes are rolling right now having won 4 straight with 3 wins versus quality opponents in the Knights, Avs and Lightning. I like them versus a tired Caps at the end of a long road trip. Join the Sharp App and use code val20 for a discount https://sharp.appJoin <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @mtlkid any questions you have on other games

Val’s Big Payday Parlay Dec 4th 2023

&quot;Top Props&quot; are my favorite props taken from the Proptimizer tool. I go through all of the Assist, Goals, and Blocked Shots props on the slate and pick the ones I like best using my model. I then compare that to what the Proptimizer has. When they agree, they make it to this article. Please let me know in <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> if you have any questions.<table><tr><th>Player</th><th>Team</th><th>Stat</th><th>Proj</th><th>Prop</th><th>O/U</th><th>Juice</th><th>Book</th><th>Edge</th><th>At Worst</th></tr><tr><td>Kaiden Guhle</td><td>MON</td><td>Blocks</td><td>3.3</td><td>2.5</td><td>O</td><td>130</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>20.58%</td><td>115</td></tr></table>

Top Props  - NHL December 4, 2023

The Sharp report is a very easy tool to follow. All the sections are described below. The strategy is simple. Follow the sharp money, fade the book, and square plays. Click <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MHiDdyZ8MEDe2HwRXMPjDOwc8mAMZsaKm67NE2txIIM/edit?usp=sharing" title="">here</a> for the tracker. All the plays are graded and tracked daily. Yesterdays recap:Could been a big day in the NFL for the sharps but KC had to ruin everything. They finished 7-7 for a little loss of .63 units. The book also finished 7-7 for the day for the same loss. The square had a strong start to December and went 7-3 backed with a strong NFL day. They are up 5.51 units for the month and we should see some regression soon.The whale had a 3-2 day for 45k profit. We had no official mega sharp plays for the day however KC did get more love at -5 closer to kick-off. I had 1 pro pick yesterday and it was an easy winning with Henry smashing his rushing yard prop! Back at it today. We already have a mega sharp play in the NBA. GL today!Last update: 5:40 PM (EST) <h2>Sharp money plays: </h2>+90.44 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020These are plays that the sharp bettors have been betting at the sportsbook. If you see a team in this section, sharp money is on one side of the play. If you see a team being removed throughout the day, it means that sharp money came on the other side.NHL:PHILADELPHIA +114DALLAS -112ARIZONA -115PHILADELPHIA OVER 6.5CAROLINA OVER 6NBA:NY KNICKS OVER 225 12/5LA LAKERS UNDER 227.5 12/5CBB:SAN JOSE STATE OVER 137OREGON STATE UNDER 132CFB:NAVY UNDER 31.5NEW MEXICO STATE -1.5FLORIDA STATE +14AIR FORCE UNDER 42.5KANSAS OVER 62.5MISSISSIPPI OVER 47.5FLORIDA STATE UNDER 46.5NFL:TAMPA +3MINNESOTA -2.5NY JETS UNDER 36.5SEATTLE OVER 45.5MEGA SHARP:NAVY UNDER 31.5FLORIDA STATE +14<h2>Sportsbook liabilities:</h2>-247 UNITS SINCE JAN 2020Updated around 4 pm, in this section, you will find the top plays that the book will cheer for since they took large sums of money on the opposite teams. I know the house always wins; however, this info comes from a sharp book, and these plays have been the most consistent when they are faded, especially when there is no public interest on the other side.NHL:CAROLINA -125TAMPA -110WASHINGTON +105NBA:INDIANA +5MILWAUKEE -4.5 12/5LA LAKERS -1.5 12/5CBB:CAL POLY SLO +13.5CFB:NAVY 12/9LOUISANA -1.5 12/16OHIO STATE -6.5 12/29FSU +14 12/30MICHIGAN -1.5 1/1IOWA +7.5 1/1OREGON -14.5 1/1NFL:PITTSBURGH -6 12/7PHILADELPHIA +3 12/10NY JETS +6 NEW ORLEANS -5.5DETROIT -4<h2>Square top positions:</h2>-182.77 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022It is a strategy to bet against the public and these regular joes are pretty good to fade. In this section, you will find picks on which the public is heavy. This section is updated around 4 pm, the time to be able to gather enough data throughout the day.NHL:PHILADELPHIA -102ARIZONA -118CAROLINA -145NBA:BOSTON -4.5CBB:SAN JOSE STATE +3CFB:ARMY -2.5 12/9JACKSONVILLE STATE -2 12/16NFL:JACKSONVILLE -10BALTIMORE -7CAROLINA +5.5TAMPA +2.5INDIANAPOLIS -2.5<h2>Whale plays: </h2>478K SINCE JAN 2022The whale is one of the biggest bettors at the sportsbook. He's a sharp bettor with high betting limits and is highly respected. IOWA UNDER 164 35uJAGS -10 25UFLYERS +110 25UHURRICANES -140 30ULIGHTNING +107 30UPURDUE OVER 162 35U<h2>Model plays: </h2>-14.58 UNITS SINCE JAN 2022Hand-picked best EV bets from Anthony P's betting models MONTREAL +139GOOD LUCK TODAY Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games

Sharpreport

Find out the best sharp bets, book liabilities, model plays and public heavy positions. 

The Sharp Report for December 4, 2023

The Bottom Line article will lead us in making the right call on high-profile games. I will cover TNF, SNF, and MNF. I will also cover big baseball games, the NBA, and the NHL. This matchup had all the makings of a classic showdown, but unfortunately, injuries have taken a bit of the shine off it. I delved into the line movement for this game in the Overnight Grind article earlier today. As it stands, the Jaguars are still favored by 10 points, and the total has settled at a steady 40.Now, let's dive deeper into this game and explore a few prop bets that catch the eye.As the Jacksonville Jaguars gear up for their first Monday Night Football appearance a very very long time, the betting landscape presents a fascinating scenario. The Jaguars, riding high with an impressive 8-3 record, face a Cincinnati Bengals team struggling to find its footing in the absence of star quarterback Joe Burrow. This matchup is not just a tale of two teams heading in opposite directions; it's a deep dive into the nuances of NFL betting.The Jaguars' Ascent and the Bengals' StruggleJacksonville's resurgence under head coach Doug Pederson has been nothing short of remarkable. With an 8-3 record both against the spread (ATS) and straight up (SU), they've defied expectations. Trevor Lawrence, while not setting the league alight, has been efficient, and running back Travis Etienne Jr. is steadily contributing to a balanced offense. Their defense, ranked 12th in scoring, has been a key component of their success.Conversely, the Bengals, now led by Jake Browning in Burrow's absence, are in a tailspin. With a 5-6 record and a defense hemorrhaging yards (31st overall in yardage allowed), they're a shadow of the Super Bowl-aspiring team they were expected to be. Browning's performance has been decent, but the team's overall trajectory is concerning.Analyzing the Matchup: Trends and Key PointsDespite the Jaguars' strong performance, this game presents a unique betting scenario. Typically, betting on an underdog in a low-total game is a trend many follow, but the Jaguars' current form and the Bengals' struggles make it hard to bet against Jacksonville. Moreover, the Bengals' defense, particularly vulnerable to tight ends, could be a significant factor. They've allowed an average of 96 receiving yards per game to the position over the last five weeks. This statistic sets up perfectly for Jaguars' tight end Evan Engram, who has been targeted heavily, making his prop bet of over 47.5 receiving yards particularly enticing.The Jaguars' offense, capable of explosive plays, faces a Bengals defense that is the worst in the league in passing yards allowed per attempt. This weakness is something Lawrence and his receiving corps can exploit, especially considering the Bengals' recent inability to contain opposing offenses.The Over/Under DilemmaWhile 'primetime unders' have been a profitable trend this season, this game's low total combined with the Jaguars' offensive potential and the Bengals' defensive woes tilt the scales towards an over. The Jaguars are averaging 24.6 points per game over their last eight, and with Cincinnati's defense struggling, there's a good chance Jacksonville will rack up the points. On the other hand, the Bengals, despite their challenges, still possess a capable receiving core that could contribute to the scoreline, especially in a scenario where they're playing catch-up.Betting RecommendationTaking all these factors into account, the smart play seems to be laying the points with the Jaguars. Their current form, combined with the Bengals' defensive struggles, makes them a solid pick. Additionally, the over seems like a viable option in this matchup, given the potential for Jacksonville's offense to capitalize on Cincinnati's defensive shortcomings and the likelihood of the Bengals scoring some late, 'garbage time' points.Finally, don't overlook the prop bet for Evan Engram. Given the Bengals' vulnerability to tight ends and Engram's recent usage in the Jaguars' offense, he's in a prime position to exceed his receiving yards total.In conclusion, while the Jaguars look set to continue their impressive run, the Bengals' struggles might persist, making Jacksonville the team to back in this intriguing Monday Night Football showdown.Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP20 and get 20% off for life.Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games

Monday Night Football: Bengals at Jags

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and over 8% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.<h5>NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 4, 2023</h5><img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/5IcPzDDZvF80ygAP9m5QsW/27c86ee3c1b1747c7b456269dee5cb17/Screenshot_2023-12-04_122521.png"/>In the ever-evolving world of sports betting, finding value is key, and the upcoming game between Indiana and the Celtics presents a unique opportunity, especially for those eyeing the total points market. Initially, when the total moved from 239 to 241.5, it seemed like a solid bet to go with the under, aligning with the sharp bettors who had already jumped on it. However, the subsequent shift to 244.5 has introduced some discomfort, but there's still a strong case for the under.The Pacers' Over-Under ConundrumThe Indiana Pacers have been a goldmine for over bettors this season, boasting a remarkable 16-2 record in this regard. Their offensive prowess is undeniable, leading the league with an adjusted Offensive Rating (aORTG) of 119.1. However, their defense is a completely different story, languishing at the bottom of the league in adjusted Defensive Rating (aDRTG). This dichotomy has been a significant factor in their games hitting the over so frequently.The Celtics' Defensive DominanceIn their last matchup, the Celtics, who rank #1 in aDRTG, managed to significantly stifle the Pacers, holding them to just 104 points. Meanwhile, Boston exploded offensively, racking up 155 points. It's crucial to note that Boston ranks 24th in pace, contrasting sharply with Indiana's position as the league's fastest team. This disparity in styles had a noticeable impact on the game's flow and outcome.The Haliburton Factor and Pace AdjustmentThe absence of Tyrese Haliburton from the Pacers' lineup is a critical factor to consider. His absence necessitates a slower pace for Indiana, a significant deviation from their usual style. This adjustment in pace is where the value lies in betting the under. Without Haliburton, the Pacers are likely to struggle to maintain their usual tempo, which has been a key component of their high-scoring games.Shooting Percentages and Adjusted ExpectationsIn their previous encounter, the Celtics shot an exceptional 57% from the field and the three-point line. Replicating such efficiency is a tall order, and a regression to the mean is more likely in the upcoming game. While the Pacers are expected to improve on their dismal 14% shooting from beyond the arc seen in the last game, the Celtics' defensive prowess should continue to limit Indiana's scoring opportunities, especially from the outside.Conclusion: Why Under is the Way to GoConsidering these factors, the under seems like a smart play for this matchup. The Pacers will likely struggle to maintain their high-scoring ways without Haliburton and against a stout Celtics defense. Meanwhile, expecting Boston to replicate their extraordinary shooting performance is unrealistic. The game's dynamics, influenced by the Pacers' adjusted pace and the Celtics' defensive capabilities, suggest a total score that will likely fall under the 244.5 mark. As always, in sports betting, it's about finding the edge, and in this scenario, the under presents a compelling case.Good luck today

Anthony P's NBA Model December 4, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8% to 10% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.NHL BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 4, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/31z7z7BKM1ypplt3cO9R3F/4939dcd4b52b41e9ffadb507504e267c/Screenshot_2023-12-04_122251.png"/>Tonight's NHL lineup presents some interesting matchups, with a focus on the Winnipeg Jets vs. Carolina Hurricanes, Montreal Canadiens vs. Seattle Kraken, and Washington Capitals vs. Arizona Coyotes.<h4>Jets vs. Hurricanes: A High-Scoring Affair</h4>The Winnipeg Jets are set to host the Carolina Hurricanes, who are embarking on a six-game road trip. The Hurricanes, coming off a 6-2 victory against the Buffalo Sabres, have been on an offensive tear, averaging 4.1 goals over the past seven games. Despite the Jets' recent scoring struggles, they face a defensively-challenged Hurricanes team, making this an ideal setup for a high-scoring game. The goaltending situation for both teams further tilts the scales towards the over. With both Laurent Brossoit for the Jets and Antti Raanta for the Canes not at their best, expect an offense-heavy game. Both teams have shown an ability to score, with the Jets ranking 14th in goals per game and the Hurricanes not far behind. Goaltending, especially for Carolina, has been below average, indicating that this game could indeed see a lot of goals. Like you can see, I prefer betting then total then the value on the Jets. <h4>Canadiens vs. Kraken: Seattle's Road Struggles vs. Montreal's Home Advantage</h4>The Montreal Canadiens face the Seattle Kraken, who are wrapping up their road trip. While Seattle has struggled against teams on losing streaks and has been underwhelming on the road, they have a chance to control this game against a Canadiens team allowing 3.54 goals per game. However, Montreal, despite recent struggles, holds the home ice advantage and has shown resilience, as seen in their comeback attempt against Detroit. With Seattle's recent road woes, including losses to Ottawa and Chicago, and Montreal's slightly better performance at home, this game could swing in favor of the Canadiens.<h4>Capitals vs. Coyotes: A Battle of Underperforming Offenses</h4>The matchup between the Washington Capitals and the Arizona Coyotes presents an interesting scenario. The total dropping from 6 to 5.5 opens up value for the over, considering both teams' recent performances. The Capitals, ranking 31st in average goals scored, face a Coyotes team ranked 15th in goals per game. Despite their low scoring, both teams have been solid in goals allowed and goaltending, suggesting a lower-scoring game. Recent trends support this, with both teams going under in several of their recent games. Given these factors, a lower-scoring affair seems likely in Arizona tonight and I don't agree with the model's value on the over. <h4>Betting Recommendations</h4><ul><li>Jets vs. Hurricanes: Bet on the over, as both teams are poised to exploit each other's defensive vulnerabilities.</li><li>Canadiens vs. Kraken: Lean towards the Canadiens, given Seattle's struggles on the road and Montreal's home ice advantage.</li><li>Capitals vs. Coyotes: Consider betting the under, as both teams have struggled offensively but have been decent defensively.</li></ul>Good luck tonight! Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games and get 20% off for life with promo code anthonyp20

Anthony P's NHL Model December 4, 2023

&quot;Top Props&quot; are my favorite props taken from the Proptimizer tool. I go through all of the Assist and Rebound props on the slate and pick the ones I like best using my model. I then compare that to what the Proptimizer has. When they agree, they make it to this article. I added a column on the far right. This is the worst price I would take the prop at. Please let me know in <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> if you have any questions.<table><tr><td>Player</td><td>TM</td><td>Stat</td><td>Proj</td><td>Prop</td><td>O/U</td><td>Juice</td><td>Book</td><td>Edge</td><td>At worst</td></tr><tr><td>Naji Marshall</td><td>NOR</td><td>REB</td><td>5.13</td><td>3.5</td><td>O</td><td>120</td><td>Draftkings</td><td>29.82%</td><td>105</td></tr></table>

+23.3 units in 2023 +183.9 units overall

Top Props  - NBA December 4, 2023

In this column, I&rsquo;ll go through the BEST BET I&rsquo;m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport.&nbsp;OVERALL RECORD: 59-41, +13.40uRECAP: And all of a sudden, we&rsquo;ve hit the wall for real. We lost both of our bets last night and, quite literally, had a 25% chance of losing both of our bets - and it happened. It was a tough draw last night as the Knicks looked resilient, and the over hit early in the fourth quarter. We haven&rsquo;t been performing how I&rsquo;d like, but you all know, I stick with my processes. Let&rsquo;s right the ship today. December 2, 2023We&rsquo;ve got two PROS on this play, and it&rsquo;s a play that tips off real soon. Let&rsquo;s get into it.&nbsp;The LA Clippers are hosting the Golden State Warriors today in an afternoon contest that should be a division-tight battle; yet, there&rsquo;s lots of indications that one side is actually far superior than the other. Both of these teams stink against the spread, and haven&rsquo;t had any significant wins yet to begin the season. That could start today, as all eyes (and money) will be on this game.&nbsp;When we look at the Sharp App Money Tools, we&rsquo;re seeing some significant value on the Clippers. They currently own 32% of the bet handle, which checks that box rather easily, as we&rsquo;re looking for under 40%. Then, they own 98% of the money - or something close to that, as sometimes it&rsquo;s hard to believe that one side has that much money on it. We&rsquo;re seeing a difference of over 60%, which is great news for us.&nbsp;But what I like even better is that Sharp AI has this game pegged at around a line of -6, and at -4.5, we&rsquo;re getting some really good value. We have about a point and a half of wiggle room to work with on that projection.&nbsp;The Warriors have been on quite the freefall, going 3-7 in their last ten games, and have lost two straight road games. While they just beat the Clippers, they were absolutely let down by both Paul George and James Harden. They currently have a top-six defense in the league that clamps down on three-point shooters, of which the Warriors rely heavily on. All of the stars will be playing in this game, with Chris Paul being a loss for the Warriors in this game. The Clippers are also sixth in the league in defensive scoring, beating league average by five points.&nbsp;The Clippers match up well in this game too, which feels odd to say even though they just lost to this Warriors team; but it&rsquo;s true. The Clippers are a great rebounding team on the offensive side of the ball, and the Warriors give up a ton of points on the road.&nbsp;The Clippers are stout defensively at home, and expect Paul George and James Harden to show up today. Let&rsquo;s take the Clippers by five. PICK:&nbsp;Los Angeles Clippers -4.5Join the conversation for free in our Discord server or sign up to get PRO ACCESS using the following link: <a href="https://sharp.app/sharp-pro-sports-betting-tools?ref=mdk0mtqm&coupon_id=tY57Ir0m" title="">Mitch S</a>Join <a href="https://discord.gg/bDCSBnMS" title="">Discord</a> and ask @MitchS any questions you have on other games!

In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NBA today.

NBA Bet of the Day | December 2, 2023

Val&rsquo;s Big Payday Parlay, pays +1125Arizona Coyotes -1.5 +196The Yotes host the Blues tonight in Zona, the Blues come into this game off a win but have been alternating wins and losses over their last 4 games. The Yotes come into this game having won 3 straight and have won all three versus the elite of the league in the Knights, Lightning and Avs. I hate to sound like a broken record but this Yotes team is youthful and has real talent on it. The Blues seem to be a Jekyll and Hyde team where they look good on one night and not so great the next, tonight they will face C. Ingram in goal whom has been great for the Yotes so far this season. I like the Yotes by multiple goals at a great price. Boston Bruins Toronto Maple Leafs O6 -105 The Bruins and Leafs go at it in Toronto tonight. The Bruins are going through a rough stretch right now (4 L in 6 games) after a scorching start to the season. While the Leafs are closing in on them having won 7 of their last 10. Both teams have been involved in games with several goals scored as both sides have gone over the total in 7 of their last 10 games. Plus the Bruins and Leafs have a history of going over the total in Toronto as it has gone 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. I like history to repeat itself again tonight in a high scoring game.Indiana Pacers +3 -105The Pacers look to snap a 2 game losing streak when they face the Heat tonight in Miami. Not sure whom made this schedule but the Pacers played the Heat 2 days ago in Miami and do it again tonight. The Pacers lead the game going into the 4th but the Heat went on to outscore them by 13 and take the game by 10 142-132. The Heat shot 56% from the field that night and yes even though the Pacers play no defense I expect that % to drop a little tonight, also the Pacers shot a paltry 26% from 3 point range which is well below their avg of apx 40% or higher. If I'm correct and both those averages revert closer back to their mean, the Pacers will cover or even win this game straight up. Join the Sharp App and use code val20 for a discount https://sharp.appJoin <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @mtlkid any questions you have on other games

Val’s Big Payday Parlay Dec 2nd 2023

&quot;Top Props&quot; are my favorite props taken from the Proptimizer tool. I go through all of the Assist and Rebound props on the slate and pick the ones I like best using my model. I then compare that to what the Proptimizer has. When they agree, they make it to this article. I added a column on the far right. This is the worst price I would take the prop at. Please let me know in <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> if you have any questions.<table><tr><th>Player</th><th>TM</th><th>Stat</th><th>Proj</th><th>Prop</th><th>O/U</th><th>Juice</th><th>Book</th><th>Edge</th><th>At worst</th></tr><tr><td>Stephen Curry</td><td>GSW</td><td>A</td><td>4.53</td><td>5.5</td><td>U</td><td>100</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>19.78%</td><td>-115</td></tr><tr><td>Draymond Green</td><td>GSW</td><td>REB</td><td>7.2</td><td>6.5</td><td>O</td><td>114</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>11.24%</td><td>105</td></tr><tr><td>Mike Conley</td><td>MIN</td><td>A</td><td>6.71</td><td>7.5</td><td>U</td><td>-115</td><td>PointsBet</td><td>10.70%</td><td>-120</td></tr><tr><td>Jarrett Allen</td><td>CLE</td><td>REB</td><td>9.27</td><td>10.5</td><td>U</td><td>-130</td><td>PointsBet</td><td>10.83%</td><td>-135</td></tr><tr><td>Saddiq Bey</td><td>ATL</td><td>REB</td><td>7.53</td><td>5.5</td><td>O</td><td>-120</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>21.64%</td><td>-145</td></tr><tr><td>Malik Beasley</td><td>MIL</td><td>REB</td><td>5.22</td><td>4.5</td><td>O</td><td>105</td><td>Draftkings</td><td>10.94%</td><td>100</td></tr><tr><td>Khris Middleton</td><td>MIL</td><td>A</td><td>4.53</td><td>3.5</td><td>O</td><td>-115</td><td>PointsBet</td><td>12.79%</td><td>-135</td></tr><tr><td>Jimmy Butler</td><td>MIA</td><td>REB</td><td>5.73</td><td>6.5</td><td>U</td><td>-104</td><td>Fanduel</td><td>13.98%</td><td>-130</td></tr></table>

Top Props  - NBA December 2, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and over 8% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.<h5>NBA BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 2, 2023</h5><img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/746wkkb4WLDKydgevuUMCK/45cd710975fcbd12779079735f73f1b7/Screenshot_2023-12-02_094348.png"/>The Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets present a worthwhile betting opportunity. Considering the Nuggets played last night, they might rest some key players therefore we have to keep an eye on that game. Good luck today

Anthony P's NBA Model December 2, 2023

HUGE PARLAY HIT YESTERDAY +1125!!Val&rsquo;s Big Payday Parlay, pays +1113LA Kings -1.5 +185The Kings host the Avs tonight in a game between Western Conference foes, the Avs lead the Central division by a point over the Stars while the Kings chase the Canucks and Knights in the Pacific division. The Avs have looked mediocre at best over their last 2 games, both losses to the Ducks and Yotes by identical scores of 4-3 in SO and OT. Tonight they will be on a B2B and 3rd game in 4 nights versus one of the stronger teams in the league. The Kings for their part will be well rested having not played in 3 days. In a game of 2 evenly matched teams I'm going to back the Kings here by multiple goals versus a fatigued Avs team not playing their best hockey. Nashville Predators/Buffalo Sabres O6.5 evenThe Preds are in Buffalo to face the Sabres tonight, after winning 6 straight the Preds have hit the skids of late losing 2 straight and been bad defensively in the process. The Preds have given up 10 goals over their last 2 games and face a team in Buffalo that score with regularity. The problem for the Sabres has been preventing goals as well, they've given up 4+ goals in 4 of their last 6 games and neither of their goalies U. Luukkonen or E. Comrie have been able to put up solid performances with consistency. I see a lot of scoring opportunities and goals scored tonight in this game. LA Chargers -5.5 -105Could Week 13 finally be the week the Chargers look like the team we expected them to be? Well if they can't get the job done versus this Pats team, then coach B. Staley should be fired right after the game. This Pats team is giving up sacks with regularity and it's felt like M. Jones has been more comfortable throwing the ball to the opposition than his own receivers. Yes B. Zappe starts at QB and that may limit the INTs but the O Line is still a mess and he will be pressured all afternoon. The Chargers have all the weapons on offense needed to turn things around today versus one of the weaker teams in the league in a big win. Join the Sharp App and use code val20 for a discount https://sharp.appJoin <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @mtlkid any questions you have on other games

Val’s Big Payday Parlay Dec 3rd 2023

In this column, I&rsquo;ll go through the BEST BET I&rsquo;m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport.&nbsp;OVERALL RECORD: 42-30, +7.58uRECAP: We&rsquo;ve made quite the profit in the NFL since we last spoke,with a bunch of PRO plays cashing, including some unders parlays and a primetime under in the Bears and Vikings game. We&rsquo;re up over seven and a half units, and for it not being my main sport, I&rsquo;ll take this profit for sure. Let&rsquo;s dive into my favorite play today. December 3, 2023Here&rsquo;s a weird fact about today&rsquo;s matchup: since these two teams came into being, the over has never hit; it&rsquo;s 4-0 in its last four games, the only times these two teams have ever played each other.&nbsp;It&rsquo;s going to be cool and cloudy in Washington today as the Commanders take on the high-flying Dolphins, and when you think Dolphins, of course you think Overs. They score a ton of points, and they have the capabilities to score 50 on their own. Not so fast!&nbsp;We&rsquo;re seeing some good movement in this game in the Sharp Handles tool, and despite money on both sides, the total hasn&rsquo;t moved all week. The Dolphins haven&rsquo;t hit over 49.5 total points in any of their last five games, and their defense has really stepped it up as far as giving up points.&nbsp;And while this Washington offense led by Sam Howell and company can be really potent, this Fins defense is the centerpiece of this game. Overall this season, they rank seventh-best in total yards allowed, top-five in yards per rush, and fourth in yards per completion on the passing side of the offense. They have the second-most sacks in the league, and that&rsquo;s going to be a problem for this Washington front that simply cannot block anyone. They&rsquo;re second-to-last in the league in the amount of sacks/game they&rsquo;re giving up. It&rsquo;s going to be a trainwreck for Howell back there.&nbsp;Washington is scoring less than league average when it comes to points scored as well, and the Dolphins give up about league average. Obviously, Miami has the best offense in the league, and are literally ranked first in rushing and in passing. But if we look at their away numbers, they&rsquo;re league-average when it comes to rushing the ball, and the Washington defense, even without some of their stars, should be able to generate some pressure on Tua and company.&nbsp;This is going to be a one-sided game for sure, and I believe that the Fins defense is strong enough to really pin down this Washington offense. Let&rsquo;s hope that Washington&rsquo;s defense shows up to limit the damage. Take the under. PICK: Miami/Washington under 49.5Join the conversation for free in our Discord server or sign up to get PRO ACCESS using the following link: <a href="https://sharp.app/sharp-pro-sports-betting-tools?ref=mdk0mtqm&coupon_id=tY57Ir0m" title="">Mitch S</a>Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @MitchS any questions you have on other games!

In this column, Mitch goes through the BEST BET he's seeing in the NFL today.

NFL Bet of the Day | 7-2 Run | December 3, 2023

<h4>I hand-select the best plays from the Top Props section of the App. I typically avoid yardage props as they are the hardest to forecast.NFL Top Props 2023 +8.4 units</h4><table><tr><th>Player</th><th>Team</th><th>Stat</th><th>Proj</th><th>Prop</th><th>O/U</th><th>Juice</th><th>Book</th><th>Edge</th><th>At Worst</th><th>Actual</th><th>W/L</th><th>P/L units</th></tr><tr><td>Kyren Williams</td><td>LAR</td><td>Receptions</td><td>2.57</td><td>3.5</td><td>U</td><td>-150</td><td>BetMGM</td><td>14.25%</td><td>-175</td><td>3</td><td>W</td><td>1</td></tr></table>

Top Props - NFL December 3, 2023

Today I give you three Sharp Advantage bets using data-driven models and game theory. We beat the bookies over the long run with math, tools, and discipline. Falcons vs JetsColts vs TitansTexans vs BroncosTim BoyleBijan RobinsonDerrick HenryDeandre HopkinsDameon PierceFor the best data driven sports betting tools, projections, and models, sign up for the <a href=" https://sharp.app/sharp-pro-sports-betting-tools?ref=ytdkmwuo" title="">Sharp App</a>.

+EV Sports Betting Player Props for NFL Week 13

<h5>Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8% to 10% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.NFL BETTING MODEL FOR WEEK 13, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/3K65pHWVJYVL2GrnROrPLv/0b7a9b246bb701b07bc386a41fc7e3e7/Screenshot_2023-12-03_094235.png"/>UPDATE DEC 3:The Tampa Bay Buccaneers: A Standout BetFirstly, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers emerge as a singularly attractive value play. The model's preference leans towards snagging them at under a field goal, but even at -3, they present a worthwhile bet. This suggests confidence in the Bucs' ability to not just win but potentially cover the spread comfortably.<h4>Low Scoring Anticipated in New York</h4>Turning our attention to the game between the New York Jets and the Atlanta Falcons, the total points line is notably low. While my personal expectation is for a low-scoring game, interestingly, the model favors the over. This divergence could indicate an undervalued potential for more scoring action than initially meets the eye.<h4>Scoring Dynamics in New England</h4>The game in New England offers another fascinating scenario. There&rsquo;s confidence in the Los Angeles Chargers to contribute their share of points on the scoreboard. The uncertainty, however, lies with the New England Patriots. Their recent form shows a meager average of barely 10 points per game over their last three outings and only 13.5 points per game across the season. This raises the question of whether the Patriots can muster enough offense to meet or exceed the expected total.<h3>Conclusion</h3>These games present a mix of clear-cut choices and speculative bets. The Buccaneers stand out as a solid pick, while the Jets-Falcons and Patriots-Chargers games offer intriguing scenarios for bettors willing to delve into the nuances of scoring patterns and team form. As always, in NFL betting, the devil is in the details, and these matchups are no exception.------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------As we dive into Week 13 of the NFL, it's exciting to see how quickly the season is progressing! Reflecting on last week, our NFL model plays yielded a solid 3-2 record, showcasing our analytical prowess. This week, however, presents a more nuanced challenge, as the model indicates just a handful of value spots available as of Tuesday.There are a few potential bets that catch the eye. Washington, for instance, could be a viable pick if the line reaches +10. Additionally, the Saints at +4, the Steelers at -5.5, and the Eagles at +3 are all matchups that merit consideration based on current evaluations.It's crucial to keep an eye on how the lines shift in the coming days. I plan to monitor these movements closely today and tomorrow, ready to update this article should any additional value emerge. So far, the most notable change we've seen is the 49ers moving from -1.5 to -3, but other significant shifts could still be on the horizon.Staying adaptable and responsive to these changes is key in identifying the most promising bets as the week progresses. Keep an eye out for updates, as the evolving landscape of NFL betting lines can often present new opportunities.

Anthony P's NFL model 

Here are my weekly projections for the NFL

Anthony P's NFL Model and PR for Week 13, 2023

<h5>We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8% to 10% on totals. In the age of big data and advanced analytics, sports predictive models have become an indispensable tool for bettors and sports enthusiasts alike. These models, often powered by sophisticated algorithms and vast amounts of data, aim to forecast the outcome of sports events with a higher degree of accuracy than human intuition alone. But while they offer numerous advantages, they also come with their own set of limitations.</h5>Advantages of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Data-Driven Decisions: One of the primary benefits of using predictive models is that they base their predictions on hard data. This means that instead of relying on gut feelings or biases, bettors can make informed decisions based on historical performance, player statistics, and other quantifiable metrics.</li><li>Identification of Value: Predictive models can help bettors identify potential value in bets. If a model predicts a different outcome than the odds provided by bookmakers, there might be an opportunity for a value bet.</li><li>Consistency: Human judgment can be inconsistent, swayed by emotions, recent events, or personal biases. Predictive models, on the other hand, are consistent in their approach, evaluating every game based on the same set of criteria.</li><li>Efficiency: With the ability to process vast amounts of data quickly, these models can evaluate numerous variables and scenarios in a fraction of the time it would take a human.</li></ol>Limitations of Sports Betting Models:<ol><li>Unpredictable Variables: As the saying goes, &quot;sports are unpredictable.&quot; There are countless variables that a model might not account for. For instance, what a player did the night before a game, sudden illnesses, or personal issues can significantly impact their performance but might not be reflected in the model.</li><li>Weather Impact: While some models might factor in general weather conditions, the nuanced effects of weather on outdoor sports can be challenging to predict. A sudden gust of wind or a brief downpour can change the dynamics of a game in ways a model might not foresee.</li><li>Over-reliance: There's a danger in becoming too dependent on models. Bettors might ignore their own knowledge or insights about a game, thinking the model knows best. This can lead to missed opportunities or misguided bets.</li><li>Model Accuracy: No model is perfect. Even the most sophisticated predictive models can and do get predictions wrong. It's essential to understand that these are tools to aid decision-making, not guarantee outcomes.</li><li>Data Limitations: The accuracy of a model is only as good as the data it's fed. If there's a lack of comprehensive data or if the data is outdated, the model's predictions can be skewed.</li></ol>While sports predictive models offer a more systematic and data-driven approach to betting, they are not infallible. They serve best as a guide, complementing a bettor's own knowledge and insights. It's essential to balance relying on the model and understanding its limitations, ensuring that bets are placed not just on numbers and algorithms but also on a comprehensive understanding of the game.NHL BETTING MODEL FOR DEC 3, 2023<img src="http://images.ctfassets.net/i0fx1kvc87e4/6syhpStfxgfkSZ3QVzHU5s/17d8f41b92462775f930ec878eb9f0a0/Screenshot_2023-12-03_093532.png"/>Good luck tonight! Join <a href="https://discord.gg/DBXUfS9JWq" title="">Discord</a> and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games and get 20% off for life with promo code anthonyp20

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