This lesson develops competence in poisson, negative binomial, zero-inflated, mixture and hierarchical count models. By completion, a learner should be able to explain the assumptions, reproduce a calculation, design a validation plan and identify when a sophisticated model is not trustworthy.
Sharp Academy · Player Props School / Part 2 Level: Expert
Multiple props from one game may move together: pass attempts and receiving yards, minutes and points, game pace and rebounds, or quarterback passing touchdowns and receiver touchdowns.
A single projected average cannot determine a prop's win probability.
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