Ownership Projections, Leverage and Contrarian Strategy

Ownership Projections, Leverage and Contrarian Strategy

Learning outcomes

  • Explain the method, its assumptions, and when it fails.
  • Recreate all examples and interpret net outcomes.
  • Complete a paper-only workflow using contest rules and data timestamped before lock.

Ownership is a forecast of competitor behavior

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Ownership Projections, Leverage and Contrarian Strategy