Val’s Big Payday Parlay Dec 25th 2023

Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +735

SF 49ers -6 -108

Two of the NFL elites faceoff tonight when the Ravens visit the 49ers, both teams sit at 11-3 on the season and lead their respective conferences. Considering how good the 49ers look right hard, it's hard to believe this team endured a 3 game losing in October, however, they did have injuries at that time. All they've done since then is run off 6 straight wins by an average margin of victory of 18.5 points and outside the Cardinals, the 49ers have beaten decent and good teams. The Ravens also come into this game on a winning streak of 4 games, however, are prone to not being as dominant on the road, yes their 5-2 on the season on the road but have had issues winning games with ease versus some of the weaker teams in the league, the had issues putting away teams like the Cards and Chargers on the road. Dealing with the 49ers at home won't be easy. The 49ers have too many weapons to slow down and will cause the Ravens fits, I like them to cover the number.

Las Vegas Raiders +10.5 -108

The Raiders are in KC clinging on to faint playoff chances and will need to beat the Chiefs on the road as a huge dog to have a chance. I don't believe that will be the case but I do believe they will keep this game close. This Chiefs team offensively is far less dominant than years past as outside of T. Kelce, there isn't much there, R. Rice is coming along and P. Mahomes is getting more comfortable with him but not to a point where they can cover a big number like this. Even when the Chiefs were at their best offensively in the past they had issues covering big numbers like this, in their past 27 games when favored by 7.5 points or more the Chiefs are 10-17 ATS. Yes their D is better, but their offense has regressed and when your offense can't score points at will, covering big spreads is very difficult. Raiders cover the number.

Denver Nuggets -6.5 -105

Christmas Day basketball, does it get any better, the NBA has owned this day for years and even with football on tap today, we have marquee games from afternoon to late night. This afternoon, we get the Warriors and Nuggets, the Warriors are no longer part of the leagues' elite and have not been a good road team for a couple of season now. Today will be a challenge for them as playing at altitude in Denver is never easy, plus the Nuggets are 11-2 on their home court. In order to upset the Nuggets, S. Curry and K. Thompson will have to be flawless and unfortunately for them, Thompson has been anything but that this season and Curry does not have a history of playing well on Christmas day. Over 9 Christmas games in his career, he's only averaged 15.3 per game, that won't get it done. There is usually one blowout game on Christmas and this game has a high probability for it, I like the Nuggets here.

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