In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop. I’ll explain my reasoning below, and even add in a couple of other picks I also like for today. If...
A new month is upon us, we hit 3 parlays during the month of March. Let's make April better! Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +875 St Louis Blues +128 The Blues are in Nashville to face the Predators this afternoon; the Blues continue to role offensively as they're 5...
We will add new sports and models as we build the app and make it more robust. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles. I will post my MLB. NFL and NHL models as often as possible. Reading the model...
Saturday the Milwaukee Brewers (1-0) will battle the Chicago Cubs (0-1). Oddsmakers peg the Brewers as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 53%, leaving the Cubs with a 47% chance to record a win. Based on the current odds the Brewers have an implied of...
George Springer and the Blue Jays go head-to-head against Brendan Donovan and the Cardinals today. Over the last 7 days, George Springer has provided the bulk of the offense for Blue Jays. He's batted .833 with 4 runs and 1 RBIs. Meanwhile, it's been Brendan Donovan who...
Starling Marte and the Mets go head-to-head against Garrett Cooper and the Marlins today. Over the last 7 days, Starling Marte has provided the bulk of the offense for Mets. He's batted .500 with 1 runs, 0 RBIs, and 2 stolen bases. Meanwhile, it's been Garrett Cooper 1...
Los Angeles's third baseman Gio Urshela looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Seth Brown and the Athletics. This season Gio Urshela is batting .500 with 0 home runs, 1 runs, and 0 RBIs. Today he's projected to bat 8th in the lineup with a The Sharp Model X...
The Cleveland Guardians enter the game as the 12th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 16th ranked Mariners at T-Mobile Park. The Guardians may need to kick their offense into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just...
The Tigers are scheduled to start Spencer Turnbull (0-0, 0.00 ERA) against Rays starting pitcher Zach Eflin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) on Saturday. This will be the first start of the season for both Turnbull and Eflin. The last time Zach Eflin took the mound, he recorded a win as...
The White Sox are scheduled to start Lucas Giolito (0-0, 0.00 ERA) against Astros starting pitcher Jose Urquidy (0-0, 0.00 ERA) on Saturday. This will be the first start of the season for both Giolito and Urquidy. Lucas Giolito recorded the win in his last outing, as He...
Jose Urena (396th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Rockies as they battle the Padres and Michael Wacha (197th ranked SP) at Petco Park. The quick scouting report on Urena: his main fastball is a sinker, which he uses 52.5% of the time. a...
Right-hander Sonny Gray is expected to start today for Minnesota, while right-hander Jordan Lyles gets the nod at home for Kansas City. The last time Sonny Gray was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Twins lost 4-11 against the Guardians. He left allowing 4 earned...
The Baltimore Orioles will faceoff in a day game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The Orioles offense will be led by Adley Rutschman, who ranks as the #37th-best hitter in baseball according to The Sharp Model X. Given Adley Rutschman's profile and today's The...
San Francisco's second baseman Thairo Estrada looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Gleyber Torres and the Yankees. This season Thairo Estrada is batting .500 with 0 home runs, 0 runs, 0 RBIs, and 1 stolen bases. Today he's projected to bat 6th in the with...
Spencer Strider (3rd ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Braves as they battle the Nationals and Josiah Gray (164th ranked SP) at Nationals Park. The quick scouting report on Strider: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 65.8%...
Today's contest between the Reds and the Pirates pits The Sharp Model's 296th ranked SP (Rich Hill) against the 24th ranked SP (Nick Lodolo). The rundown on Hill tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 35.6% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a is...
The Arizona Diamondbacks enter the game as the 22nd ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 2nd ranked Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The D-Backs may need to kick their offense into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just 7...
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is expected to start today for Philadelphia, while right-hander Nathan Eovaldi gets the nod at home for Texas. The last time Zack Wheeler was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Phillies lost 1-4 against the Astros. He left allowing 2 runs...
There is now a Top Prop tab in the game center. These are the top prop choices based on our projections. I consider those projections on the model I'm running to give you the Top Props article, which is filtered to give you only the props I'm betting. For now I wi be to...
Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +608 New York Rangers -138 The Rangers are in Buffalo to face the Sabres; the Sabres still have an outside chance of making the playoffs but continue to lose games they shouldn’t which is crippling their chances. Tonight they be...
Brandon Nimmo and the Mets go head-to-head against Garrett Cooper and the Marlins today. Over the last 7 days, Brandon Nimmo has provided the bulk of the offense for Mets. He's batted .333 with 1 runs and 3 RBIs. Meanwhile, it's been Garrett Cooper who has been hot for...
Today's contest between the Astros and the White Sox pits The Sharp Model's 56th ranked SP (Lance Lynn) against the 29th ranked SP (Cristian Javier). The rundown on Lynn tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 45.4% of the time and keeps hitters off balance a...
Hunter Gaddis (368th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Guardians as they battle the Mariners and Robbie Ray (144th ranked SP) at T-Mobile Park. The quick scouting report on Ray: Ray primarily throws a four-seamer fastball (39.4%) and his...
The D-Backs are scheduled to start Merrill Kelly (0-0, 0.00 ERA) against Dodgers starting pitcher Dustin May (0-0, 0.00 ERA) on Friday. This will be the first start of the season for both Kelly and May. In Merrill Kelly's last outing, the D-Backs won 4-2 against the He...
The Colorado Rockies enter the game as the 29th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 3rd ranked Padres at Petco Park. The Rockies rank 6th in MLB in batting average and will likely lean on that hitting in their attempt to win today. If...
Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +452 Minnesota Twins -149 The MLB season begins today and it should an exciting season with the pitch clock and a more balanced schedule (less divisional games). I like several of the acquisitions the Twins made during the off season...
Detroit Tigers Insights The Sharp Model X projects Eduardo Rodriguez to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup. Zach McKinstry has struggled with his Barrel%; his 8.2% rate last year...
Right-hander Corbin Burnes is expected to start today for Milwaukee, while right-hander Marcus Stroman gets the nod at home for Chicago. The last time Corbin Burnes was on the bump, the Brewers lost 2-4 versus the D-Backs. He left allowing 0 earned runs and recording 5...
Baltimore Orioles Insights Kyle Gibson’s fastball velocity over his last 3 starts (92.7 mph) has been quite a bit higher than than his seasonal rate (91.1 mph). Austin Hays's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (8°) is a significant dropoff...
Today's contest between the Cardinals and the Blue Jays pits The Sharp Model's 23rd ranked SP (Alek Manoah) against the 172nd ranked SP (Miles Mikolas). The rundown on Manoah tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 36.1% of the time and keeps hitters off with...
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 5.9 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher. Alek Thomas has been unlucky with his batting average this year; BA...
The White Sox are scheduled to start Dylan Cease (0-0, 0.00 ERA) against Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) on Thursday. This will be the first start of the season for both Cease and Valdez. Dylan Cease suffered a loss in his last outing, as the Sox...
The Atlanta Braves enter the game as the 19th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 23rd ranked Nationals at Nationals Park. The Braves rank 2nd in MLB in home runs and will likely lean on that power in their attempt to win today. If the...
German Marquez (151st ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Rockies as they battle the Padres and Blake Snell (53rd ranked SP) at Petco Park. The quick scouting report on Marquez: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses 30.1% of the...
Mitch Keller (300th ranked SP via The Sharp Model) is projected to take the mound for Pirates as they battle the Reds and Hunter Greene (71st ranked SP) at Great American Ball Park. The quick scouting report on Keller: his main fastball is a four-seamer, which he uses a...
Los Angeles Angels Insights Shohei Ohtani's fastball velocity has risen 1.5 mph this year (96.5 mph) over where it was last year (95 mph). Luis Rengifo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph figure last season has lowered to 90.1-mph. Gio has...
Right-hander Max Scherzer is expected to start today for New York, while right-hander Sandy Alcantara gets the nod at home for Miami. The last time Max Scherzer was on the bump, he suffered the loss as the Mets lost 1-7 against the Padres. He left allowing 7 earned runs...
The Twins are scheduled to start Pablo Lopez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) against Royals starting pitcher Zack Greinke (0-0, 0.00 ERA) on Thursday. This will be the first start of the season for both Lopez and Greinke. In Pablo Lopez's last outing, the Marlins won 4-3 against the He...
Today's contest between the Mariners and the Guardians pits The Sharp Model's 34th ranked SP (Shane Bieber) against the 20th ranked SP (Luis Castillo). The rundown on Bieber tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 34.5% of the time and keeps hitters off with...
The San Francisco Giants enter the game as the 24th ranked team per The Sharp Model X's Power Rankings and will battle the 14th ranked Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The Giants may need to kick their hitting into gear to maximize their win chances today, as they rank just a...
Thursday the Philadelphia Phillies (0-0) will battle the Texas Rangers (0-0). Oddsmakers peg the Rangers as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 55%, leaving the Phillies with a 45% chance to record a win. Based on the current odds the Phillies have an implied...
Opening Day is TOMORROW, people – and the MLB generates a ton of revenue for sports books each summer, as it’s the primary sport to bet on when the sun starts shining. In this article, I’m going to break down five things you MUST know about the MLB a a...
Philadelphia Phillies Insights The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in MLB, per The Sharp Model. ...
Philadelphia Phillies Insights Zack Wheeler has averaged 17.7 outs per game per started this year, checking in at the 85th percentile. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper can likely count on holding the advantage against every...
Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +1116 Straight up Overall Record for the Big Payday Plays 430-595, -8.37 units Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 +113 The Maple Leafs host the Flyers after returning from a 5 game road trip that saw them go 1-4, which included 2 really bad to...
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