MLB Bet of the Day | September 2, 2024

In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.

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OVERALL RECORD: 227-212-8, +8.75u
RECAP: We once again nail our MLB of the Day, hitting the under in the Sunday Night Baseball game, despite it going to the 11th inning. In fact, we escaped death twice yesterday, with our two unders hitting despite going to extras! Mason Miller cost us the winning day though, as he gave up a two-run triple in extra innings to lose about .3u on the day. On to today, where we have Labor Day baseball! 

September 2nd, 2024

Today, we’re fading the sportsbook liabilities and hammering the home team in game one of this divisional matchup that could have some serious implications on the wild card race in the American League. 

Cleveland is one of the best teams in the league, and it’s apparent that they have their edge at home - they’re in the race for the best record league-wide. But on the road, they’re a surprisingly average 35-34 on the season, just one game above .500. And on today’s Sharp Report, Cleveland is one of the teams on our radar to fade, as they’re a sportsbook liability. Our Sharp AI also gives Kansas City a 65% predictive win percentage on the day, despite Cleveland having the better record this season.

Michael Wacha has been class all season, and he’s on another great run that has turned back the clock for the Royals. Despite giving up five runs in his last outing, he is among the league’s best at avoiding hard hits and limits exit velocity with the best of them. His 1.20 WHIP at home is really great, and post All-Star break, he’s lulled batters to an even lower WHIP of 1.15. 

Gavin Williams is on the mound for the Guardians, and he’s going to need run support today if he’s going to want to win. He’s struggled over his last five games, and the sportsbooks know that - but it’s hard to deny that this Guardians offense is firing on all cylinders right now. Williams rarely works past the fourth inning, and the Royals are slated to pounce on his 1.42 WHIP since the All-Star Break. He’s been good on the road, but expect him to unravel by the fourth inning or so today. 

KC is averaging six runs per game against righties at home, and this is their bread and butter. Cleveland struggles vs. righties on the road, and expect that to be more of the same today. Neither of these bullpens are especially rested, so expect some hinky movement as the game goes on - but hopefully KC builds a big enough lead to fend off the road team. 

PICK: Kansas City Royals ML

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