Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Matchup Preview - September 29th, 2022

Kansas City's shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Javier Baez and the Tigers. This season Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .254 with 20 home runs, 81 runs, 80 RBIs, and 28 stolen bases. Today he's projected to bat 4th in the lineup with a The Sharp Model X projection of .237 Avg, .292 wOBA and .07 HRs. On the Tigers side, Javier Baez has shined this year (.241 Avg, 15 HRs, 60 Rs, 61 RBIs, & 9 SBs). He's projected to bat 4th and The Sharp Model X projects his average performance today as a .289 wOBA, and .05 HRs.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Jon Heasley projects to record 18 outs today, according to The Sharp Model X.

• Michael A. Taylor's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.4-mph figure last year has dropped off to 86.7-mph.

• The Kansas City Royals bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in MLB, according to The Sharp Model.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez has utilized his cut-fastball 7.5% more often this year (25.2%) than he did last year (17.7%).

• Jonathan Schoop has been unlucky this year, compiling a .242 wOBA despite The Sharp Model X estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .043 gap.

• Harold Castro has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)

• Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 away games (+17.80 Units / 39% ROI)