Val’s Big Payday Parlay July 25th 2023

Val’s Big Payday Parlay, pays +729

Cleveland Guardians -1.5 +103

The Guardians look to even up this series tonight when A. Civale faces Z. Greinke. What is there too say about Greinke this season apart from that he's been absolutely terrible on the road, he has a 7.42 road ERA and the Royals have lost 8 of his 9 road starts. Civale has pitched well all season outside of a couple of starts and will be making his 2nd start versus the Royals, in his 1st he was lights out as he pitched 7 scoreless innings in a 3-0 victory. I like the Guardians to win this game comfortably.

St Louis Cardinals/Arizona DBacks O9 -106

The Cards & DBacks play G2 of their series tonight, it will be S. Matz versus M. Kelly on the mound. When you look at the pitchers' splits neither is having success in this type of matchup, Matz has a road ERA of 5.71 while Kelly has struggled on home with an ERA of 4.04. The Cards offense is really rolling right now as they've scored 3 plus runs in 9 of their last 10 games and their pitching staff hasn't been great and giving a lot of runs also. The DBacks are also struggling as they've now lost 5 straight and have fallen from 1st to 2nd in the NL West. The DBacks have given up 4 plus runs in every game during this losing streak as well. Expect a lot of runs in this game.

Seattle Mariners/Minnesota Twins U4 -118 1st 5 innings

We have a rematch of 5 days ago between G. Kirby and P. Lopez pitch tonight. The score then after 5 innings was 2-0 Seattle and I expect a similar result tonight. Both starters have been pitching well of late and neither offense is tearing the cover off the ball. Kirby has a 2.80 ERA over his last 7 starts while Lopez outside of 1 start has pitched really well over his last 5. B. Miller is behind the plate and he's been a real under umpire this season with a record of 12-6. Both bullpens have blown games lately which have turned unders into overs in extra innings, so I will go with the first 5 innings here.

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