Anthony P's NBA Model October 31, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 31, 2022

The model liked 3 unders yesterday and went 1-2 with only the Boston cashing. Tonight the model is big on the Hornets with 20%+ EV.

The projections don't include Rozier in the lineup since he's still doubtful for tonight. He missed the last 4 games with a right ankle sprain and he's not officially ruled out yet. If he does play it will be a boost for the Hornets who are still missing Ball and Martin.

Nonetheless, I still like the Hornets since the Kings defense is terrible and allows teams to shoot 50% from the field. The concern tonight is which Hornets team will show up. Is it the one that looked awful versus the Magic and the one that looked terrific versus the Warriors?

Money is coming on the Kings and the line is at +3.

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