Anthony P's NBA Model October 27, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 27, 2022

Portland and Toronto were top values yesterday! Tonight we have a small slate and only one game of interest and it's the under in Golden State. The model has this game at 214 and the total opened at 225 and it's now at 227.5.

The Heat played last night and things can get sloppy tonight. We know the Warriors can score at will however the Heat did a tremendous job versus Portland last night and their defensive play was showcased once again.

It's tough to support the under with the Warriors. In their last 3 games, they went over the total by a margin of 19 pts per game.

Head to head, the last 4 games went over by ~ 9 pts per game however the totals averaged 216 per game. I don't mind the under in this game because of Miami's defense but since it is on a road b2b game, the coaches tend to rest some of their players and that uncertainty alone will make me stay away from this game.

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