Anthony P's NBA Model October 18, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 18, 2022

The model has the Celtics at -3 and 209.2 therefore a little value on the under but not much. As for the Golden State game, the Nuggets are projected at -5 with a total of 225.8

Like any other sport, I wait around 7 to 10 days before going full throttle on the games.

The 76ers were average last year offensively and will be playing an elite defense to open the season in Boston. The money is coming in on the 76ers but I'll sit this one out and see how the Celtics do defensively. The Celtics also have more depth with Brogdon and Gallinari.

The Lakers were terrible last year however they will look completely different this year with the addition of Beverly, Bacon, Bryant, Walker, and Schroder. Let's how long it will take for Lebron James to start complaining. I still think the Lakers will struggle this year. Golden State looked good during the preseason despite the Green and Pool drama and most of their entire roster is returning this year. Ranking Warriors is not an issue however I will need to make adjustments on the Lakers.

Our IA model has the Celtics game at 230.5 and the Warriors at -18. WOW!

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