Anthony P's NBA Model November 2, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 2, 2022

The money was right yesterday!! The Kings defeated the Hornets! The model was strong on the Hornets!

The best value we reviewed yesterday went 1-1. I bet the Bulls and went against the model. I didn't have the balls to bet the Heat however the model was right.

Charlotte, Atlanta, and the LA Lakers feature as the best value tonight and my early lean would be to agree on all of them.

Everyone I spoke to this morning won't agree on the Hawks. In this close game where both offenses have been rolling it can come down to who shoots better from the outside and free throws. The Hawks have an edge in both.

The Bulls are on a b2b and I love to target these spots. The model has the Hornets at -1 while the book is giving us 6 pts. Lavine is probably and he's included in my projections. The Bulls have only covered 1 game ATS in their last 7 games with no rest. Take the points.

The LA Lakers.... yack I know but they looked much better against the Nuggets by scoring a season-high 46 FGs and 43% from the outside. If Davis doesn't play tonight this is a fade for me and the value drops considerably. The Pels are top 10 in rebounds and without Davis, Zion and company will dominate the boards.

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