Anthony P's NBA Model November 17, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 17, 2022

I was opposed to the under in the OKC game last night and I still ended up pulling the trigger on it. I regret it!

The model had the Raptors favorites yesterday and I felt different due to the injuries. The model was right.

I was right about the under in Boston last night and I got that right over the model!

Small slate tonight, both the model and the sharps like the Nets on the road tonight. I'm not sure how I feel about this. The Nets are 3-5 on the road this year, lost their last 2, and gave up 150+ pts to Sacramento last game. Portland is top 10 in pace while the Nets are at the bottom of the league and that can be an issue tonight. Portland opened at -4 and the line dropped to -1.5, it's clear the sharps like the Nets. Who do you like?

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