Anthony P's NBA Model November 14, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 14, 2022

I'm tired of writing about the Hornets and they will need more from Rozier if they want to snap this losing streak. With Hayward out and Smith Jr, not 100% I will stay away from the Hornets having scored under 100 pts in 5 of their last 10 games. Orlando has looked like champions versus good teams but then sucks versus teams with a losing record making them very inconsistent. The Magic do have better momentum and I believe they will win tonight.

Talking about the Hornets and Magic, the Heat just beat Charlotte in the mini back-to-back series while the Magic beat the Suns. In what's expected to be a defensive game, my model likes the Heat however the line is moving accordingly and there is no more value on them.

I've watched enough of Milwaukee without Giannis to know that if he is not playing tonight bet on the Hawks. I still have after-effects from that OT game in OKC and they got killed the next game in San Antonio. So it's simple if the Bucks roll out the same lineup they did versus the Spurs it's auto-lock play on the Hawks. I'm still trying to figure out how the Hawks, without Trea, were able to beat Milwaukee by 19 with Jrue and Giannis playing. Take Atlanta if Giannis is out.

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