Anthony P's NBA Model November 11, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 11, 2022

The Bucks are once again without Giannis and Holiday! Last game they gave me heartburn and I have no idea how we won that bet. They looked awful on the boards late in the game and OKC had massive momentum. Carter had the game of his life and he might need to do the same if the Bucks want to stay in this game. The Spurs deflated after a respectable start but have lost 5 straight and posted a 2-3 ATS record. The Spurs have been so bad defending that I can see Carter and Lopez dominate in this game also and I wouldn't bet on the Spurs.

The Warriors have been terrible on the road losing all their 6 games but almost perfect at home sitting at 4-1. The Cavs have been dominant ATS and are 8-3 but they lost their last 2 games to the Kings and Clippers. Golden State just put 2 b2b games with some respectable defense and has allowed less than 10 pts per game versus the average of their last 4 games. Cleveland is 0-10 SU last 10 games, 0-5 ATS last 5 games, and 3-7 last 10 games in Golden State. The last 4 games when under. It's a tough call to be honest since I can't see the Cavs losing 3 straight but the Warriors own them. We still can't trust the Warrior's defense but they've shown improvements last 2 days. I'll pass.

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