Anthony P's NBA Model November 1, 2022
Anthony P
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often. Would you like to unlock all my VIP picks? Use promo code AnthonyP and get 1 month free or Join our free Discord server and ask @anthony p any questions you have.NBA BETTING MODEL FOR NOV 1, 2022
The money was right yesterday!! The Kings defeated the Hornets! The model was strong on the Hornets!
Brooklyn and Miami feature as best values at +17% and +21% EV. The model has the Nets at -3 while the actual line is -1. The line in Miami looks like it will move in their way however it's still at a pickem. The model has the Heat at -2.5
I am not sure how to handicap the Nets and Bulls. The Nets have been terrible on defense and the Bulls can't seem to get the offense going. The Nets are on a b2b and might be sitting some of their bangged-up players but we just don't know who yet. The game opened at pickem and the early money was on the Nets and the book moved the line -2. Then the money started coming on the Bull and it moved back to a pickem. As of 10 am this morning, the Nets were hit again and the line is back at -2. I'm staying away from this game.
Our first NBA bet this year was on the under when the Heat were in Golden State. The Warriors won by 13 and the gave went over thanks to a stupid first half of scoring. I would have lots of interest in the Heat if Thompson is out again. Last game, the Warriors looked lost without him and almost gave up 130 to the Pistons. The Warriors rank at the bottom of the league in defense. The Heat are 5-2 ATS last 7 at home versus the Heat and if you like them jump on them now since I am starting to the -1's on the board.
Join the conversation for free in our discord server and ask me how you can get a free month of the Sharp AppJoin Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games
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