Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels Matchup Preview - August 15th, 2022

Monday evening the Seattle Mariners battle against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. The Mariners offense will be led by Julio Rodriguez, who ranks as the #21st-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X. Given Julio Rodriguez's profile and today's matchup specifics, THE BAT X expects him to average a .307 wOBA, .238 AVG, and .18 HRs. On the other side, Shohei Ohtani (THE BAT X's #8th hitter in MLB) will bolster the Angels lineup. He projects for a .387 wOBA, .272 AVG, and .25 HRs.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Luis Castillo is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.2% GB% per THE BAT projections), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #5 HR venue in the league — today.

• Ty France's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 81.2-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

• The Seattle Mariners bullpen grades out as the best in MLB, via THE BAT.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Shohei Ohtani has gone to his non-fastballs 11.3% more often this season (67.2%) than he did last year (55.9%).

• Extreme flyball bats like Jose Rojas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Castillo.

• Kurt Suzuki has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Betting Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 34 away games (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)