MLB Bet of the Day | May 28, 2024

In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.

If you have any questions, hit me up in the Discord, linked below, and be sure to add a PRO SUBSCRIPTION to your daily routine to maximize your best bets, no matter the sport. 

OVERALL RECORD: 76-70-4, +2.10u
RECAP: So many of you are in my DM’s asking about games, and when I give you advice there, it tends to win… the only losers lately have been the plays that I find significant value on, and that’s the frustrating part. The Guardians and Astros both took L’s last night, and so did we, losing about a unit of profit yesterday on our season. We’re only up two units this season, and on a nasty 3-7 run in the MLB. That’s bound to change, but we have to continue to find value… it’s about capitalizing on it! 

May 28th, 2024

We’re going to take a juiced number today in a matchup that’s sure to feature lots of runs… according to the way that the Sharps are betting. 

In this matchup on the West Coast, we’re going to see the LA Angels take on the NY Yankees in what is promised to be a slugfest. Griffin Canning is the pitcher on the mound for the Angels, and he’s been real bad this year, both in analytics and in person. He’s averaging a home run per night game this season, and he gives up a LOT of them; he’s in the 30th percentile in the league in hard hit percentage, and in the SIXTH percentile in average exit velocity. You’re telling me that Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Giancarlo Stanton aren’t looking at this starter and this bullpen and salivating?

On the other side we have Nestor Cortes, who has actually been pretty good as of late. He hasn’t allowed an earned run in his past twelve innings, which either means that he’s due, or he’s going to continue to roll. We’re going to bank our money on the first one, because of this Angels lineup against lefties, which has been REALLY good lately; over their last ten games against lefties, they’re averaging seven runs per game and are getting on base 34% of the time. 

Plus, Nestor Cortes has been pretty good at most things, besides average exit velocity. In fact, he’s below the 25th percentile in both hard hit percentage and average exit velocity this season. 

Finally, the Yankees aren’t slouches when it comes to hitting the baseball either, as we’ve seen this season. Over their last ten games against righties, they’re averaging five runs per game and are getting on base 32% of the time, which is a great number. 

There are four sharps already on this play, and we’re adding me, a Sharp App Coach, to the mix as well. We got it at plus-money earlier, and now, you may even be able to grab the over 8.5. I’ll take my chances at 9. 

PICK: New York Yankees / Los Angeles Angels over 9 (+100)

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