Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Matchup Preview - September 26th, 2022

Baltimore's center fielder Cedric Mullins looks to continue his strong season as he takes on Rafael Devers and the Red Sox. This season Cedric Mullins is batting .261 with 15 home runs, 84 runs, 60 RBIs, and 31 stolen bases. Today he's projected to bat 2nd in the lineup with a The Sharp Model X projection of .272 Avg, .363 wOBA and .16 HRs. On the Red Sox side, Rafael Devers has shined this year (.289 Avg, 27 HRs, 80 Rs, 84 RBIs, & 3 SBs). He's projected to bat 4th and The Sharp Model X projects his average performance today as a .363 wOBA, and .11 HRs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Jordan Lyles’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2129 rpm) has been a considerable dropoff from than his seasonal rate (2202 rpm).

• Austin Hays has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

• The Baltimore Orioles projected offense ranks as the 4th-worst of all teams today.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• The Sharp Model X projects Connor Seabold to throw 81 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

• Rob Refsnyder has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last season's 95.7-mph average.

Betting Trends

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 133 games (+29.75 Units / 20% ROI)

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)