Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Matchup Preview - September 30th, 2022
Editor
The Arizona Diamondbacks (72-84) will battle the San Francisco Giants (78-78) on Friday night. Oddsmakers peg the Giants as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 54%, leaving the D-Backs with a 46% chance to record a win. Based on the current odds the D-Backs have an implied team total of 3.34 compared to 3.66 for the Giants.
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
Merrill Kelly has averaged 18.4 outs per start this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.
Christian Walker has been hot recently, bashing 4 homers over the past 14 days.
The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league, according to The Sharp Model.
San Francisco Giants Insights
Alex Cobb has utilized his change-up 5.4% more often this year (42.3%) than he did last season (36.9%).
Mike Yastrzemski is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#1-best on the slate).
Austin Slater has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games at home (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.60 Units / 41% ROI)
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