Anthony P's MLB Model September 28, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB and NFL models as often as possible.

To read the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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MLB BETTING MODEL FOR SEPT 28, 2022

The Reds and their offense looked terrible in the first 2 games. Tonight they have no excuse with Wilson on the mount. He's got an ERA of close to 6 and he ranks at the bottom of most metrics. The Reds have a clear advantage in this pitching match up and they will do everything to avoid the sweep.

I don't like the Cardinals. The Brewers are playing desperate baseball and have been better. I also prefer the Brewser in this tight-pitching matchup. I prefer the under in this game.

The Twins over 7 is on the move and will go to 7.5 in no time. Do I like the over? Yes. We have to keep an eye on the weather/winds. Cueto is no stud and Winder isn't even part of the Twins rotation. Why is this total at 7? The White Sox have been really bad last 7 games and have averaged under 2 runs per game in their last 6 games. If the wind is blowing out, ill be on the over!

Good luck


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