Anthony P's MLB Model September 14, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB and NFL models as often as possible.

To read the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. In those spots, I love to take a big underdog if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a great edge losing often.

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We have value on the Padres, Yankees, and Cardinals. As I mentioned above, sportsbooks will tend to overprice big favorites therefore we are also seeing value in the Tigers and Rockies. The pitching matchups are so lopsided in those games that I won't even bother digging into those games.

If we take a quick look at the Sharp Report (available for PRO users only) you will notice that sharp money is on the Red Sox and Mariners.

Is San Diego worth a shot at +139?

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Join Discord and ask @anthony p any questions you have on other games