Anthony P's MLB Model October 8, 2022
Anthony P
As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.I will post my MLB and NFL models as often as possible.
Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.
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My gosh, the drama in New York eh? Have you seen the look on their faces? Do they know there's a game 2 today or did they already give up? I jumped on the Mets yesterday because ill fade Darvish every day on the road and in the playoffs. Obviously, it didn't work out. All the controversy about not starting deGrom in this series can backfire today since he has no choice but to start him however it's almost 100% certain that the Padres will not have the success they did with Max yesterday. It's hard to go against deGrom but the value of the Padres is interesting.
The model liked 2 overs yesterday and I disagreed but of course, the Phillies scored 6 top on the 9th and it went 1-1. Once again ill disagree with the over in New York that the model is recommending.
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