Anthony P's MLB Model October 7, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB and NFL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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MLB BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 7, 2022

Finally, the playoffs are here! I'll go over the lines in the Overnight Grid which will be released shortly.

The model is showing some value on 2 totals and I would have preferred to see it liked unders instead of overs. It is the time of the year when elite pitching matchups dominate.

The gap is pretty big between the totals and the numbers projected by the model.

I don't agree with both projections from the model and I prefer the under in both games.

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