Anthony P's MLB Model October 16, 2022

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will be adding new sports and models to the app. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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MLB BETTING MODEL FOR OCT 16, 2022

Win or die for the Yankees tonight. The dodgers are out, the Braves are out and the books are loving this!

The model is showing about 7% EV on Cleveland tonight with Cole vs Quantrill. Judge was 0-9 until hitting that bomb and much more was expected of him. It's nice he hit 62 HR this however if the Yankees get eliminated there will be lots of talks about his playoff performance.

We can say that Cole will be under a ton of pressure since his team hasn't done well on the road in the playoffs and lost 20 of its last 24 games on the road versus teams with a winning record.

It was a rough loss for the Yankees yesterday and they will not win if they rely only on HRs against a Cleveland team that put up 15 hits yesterday which 13 were singles.

I'm backing up the value here with the Guardians.

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