Texans vs Colts Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 6th, 2024

a year ago

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The Houston Texans are set to face off against the Indianapolis Colts in a divisional showdown. This Saturday matchup holds significant importance as both teams will be motivated to secure a victory. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium, the home of the Colts.

Both teams will have one less day of rest this week, which could impact their preparation and recovery. Despite this, both the Texans and the Colts have been performing exceptionally well this season, surpassing preseason expectations. Both teams currently hold a record of 9-7.

The Colts have been particularly strong in their home games, winning their last three consecutive matchups at Lucas Oil Stadium. Meanwhile, the Texans have displayed solid football recently, winning nine out of their last 15 games.

In their previous encounter in Week 2, the Colts emerged victorious with a 31-20 road win over the Texans. This rematch adds an extra layer of significance and serves as a revenge game for Houston.

Interestingly, the Texans opened as underdogs but are now favored to win. The odds suggest a 50% chance of victory for both teams. The spread initially favored the Colts by 1 point but has since shifted, with the Texans now holding a 1-point advantage. This significant line movement indicates that sharp bettors are backing the Texans, while the sportsbooks may be rooting for the Colts to cover the spread.

With the game being played on a Saturday, it is expected to attract a larger audience, increasing the pressure on both teams to perform. As the Texans and Colts battle it out, it will be intriguing to see which team can capitalize on their strengths and come out on top.

Texans Insights

The predictive model expects the Texans to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 69.5 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis defensive tackles project as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their pass rush.
In putting up an outstanding rate of 259.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 8th-best passing team in the NFL has been the Texans.

Colts Insights

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Gardner Minshew's 62.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy gain in his passing precision over last year's 58.0% rate.
This week, Jonathan Taylor is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 99th percentile among running backs with 0.69 touchdowns on the ground.

Betting Trends

The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)