Steelers vs Ravens Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 6th, 2024

a year ago

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The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens are set to face off in a divisional showdown at M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday at 4:30 PM ET. This matchup holds significance as both teams will have extra motivation to secure a victory against a divisional rival.

The Ravens have had a remarkable season, surpassing preseason expectations with a record of 13-3. They enter this game on a six-game winning streak, showcasing their dominance on the field in recent weeks.

On the other hand, the Steelers possess a 9-7 record this season and have shown solid performance as of late, winning nine of their last 15 games. In their previous game, they secured a crucial victory against the Seattle Seahawks with a score of 30-23.

Notably, the last time these two teams faced each other was earlier this season in Week 5, resulting in a 17-10 victory for the Steelers. It was a surprising outcome as the Steelers won despite being 4.5 point underdogs with only a 34% chance of winning the game.

The upcoming matchup holds additional significance as it can be considered a revenge game for the Ravens. The Steelers managed to limit their scoring in their previous encounter, making it an exciting, tightly contested affair that was ultimately decided by a single touchdown.

Despite being on the road, the Steelers are currently favored to win by a spread of -3. The odds suggest that they have a 59% chance of emerging victorious, while the Ravens have a 41% chance.

Overall, this divisional matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens promises to be an intense battle on the gridiron. With both teams vying for a crucial win, the stakes are high, and football fans can expect an exciting showdown.

Steelers Insights

The projections expect Jaylen Warren to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (18.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.4% in games he has played).
After totaling 78.0 air yards per game last year, George Pickens has undergone big improvement this year, currently pacing 89.0 per game.
This year, the strong Baltimore Ravens pass defense has allowed the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a meager 4.2 YAC.

Ravens Insights

Rainy weather conditions (like those being predicted in this game) usually correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher ground volume.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the league this year with their pass rush.
The Baltimore Ravens have been among the top offenses in football this year (#10 overall), averaging a terrific 338.0 adjusted yards per game.

Betting Trends

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 92% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)