Saints vs Rams Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 21st, 2023

a year ago

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This Thursday night, the New Orleans Saints will face off against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. With a scheduled kickoff at 8:15 PM ET, both teams will be playing on short rest, having competed just four days ago. This quick turnaround gives them less time to prepare and recover their strength for this crucial matchup.

The Saints will face an additional challenge as they travel cross-country, enduring a longer-than-normal road trip. Adding to their disadvantage, they will also need to adjust to a two-hour time zone difference. These factors could potentially impact the Saints' performance and diminish their chances of securing a victory.

While the Rams have been enjoying a successful season, surpassing preseason expectations, the Saints currently hold a 7-7 record, as do the Rams. However, recent trends suggest a contrasting performance from both teams. The Rams have been dominant at home, winning their last three consecutive games, whereas the Saints have struggled on the road, losing three of their last four away games.

In their most recent matchups, the Saints claimed a victory against the New York Giants, triumphing 24-6, while the Rams secured a win over the Washington Commanders with a 28-20 scoreline.

The last time these two teams faced off was in Week 11 of the 2022 season, resulting in a memorable game that was decided by a single touchdown. Ultimately, the Saints were victorious, defeating the Rams with a final score of 27-20.

With the Rams being the favored team at home, the odds currently give them a 64% chance of winning, while the Saints trail behind with a 36% chance. The spread initially opened at Rams -4.5 but has now shifted to Rams -4, representing a minor half-point movement.

As we approach this exciting matchup, the stage is set for a thrilling battle between the Saints and Rams. Will the Rams maintain their home dominance, or can the Saints overcome the odds and secure a crucial road victory? Only time will tell, but football fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly awaiting the outcome.

Saints Insights

The model projects the Saints to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive tackles project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year with their run defense.
The New Orleans Saints have been among the worst per-play passing offenses in the league this year (#24 overall), averaging a paltry 6.58 adjusted yards-per-target.

Rams Insights

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Matthew Stafford's 252.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a remarkable progression in his throwing ability over last season's 220.0 figure.
In this week's game, Kyren Williams is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 99th percentile among running backs with 0.71 rushing TDs.

Betting Trends

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Cooper Kupp has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)