Rams vs Giants Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 31st, 2023
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In a highly anticipated matchup this Sunday, the Los Angeles Rams will take on the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium, the home of the Giants. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. MetLife Stadium, the largest stadium in the NFL, is expected to create a raucous atmosphere that could potentially aid the Giants in their home field advantage.
The Rams will have the advantage of three extra days of rest leading up to this game. This additional time allows them to prepare and recover their strength for the upcoming challenge. Conversely, the Giants will have one less day of rest, which may hinder their preparation and recovery.
The Rams will face the challenge of a cross-country trip, having traveled from Los Angeles to New York. This extended journey, spanning three time zones, could potentially work against the Rams and impact their performance in this road game.
The Rams have had a remarkable season, exceeding preseason expectations with an 8-7 record. They have been playing solid football lately, winning four of their last five games. In their most recent game, the Rams secured a dominant victory against the New Orleans Saints, triumphing 30-0.
On the other hand, the Giants have struggled to meet their preseason expectations, currently holding a disappointing 5-10 record. Their recent form has been poor, losing 10 of their last 15 games. In their previous outing, the Giants fell short against the Philadelphia Eagles, succumbing to a 33-25 defeat.
The last time these two teams met was in Week 6 of the 2021 season, resulting in a resounding road victory for the Rams. They outclassed the Giants with a convincing 38-11 win, highlighted by a remarkable defensive performance that held the Giants scoreless.
As the Rams look to continue their successful season, the Giants will aim to turn their fortunes around. With contrasting records and recent form, this game promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams with different trajectories. Football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see if the Rams can maintain their winning ways or if the Giants can pull off an upset at home.
Rams Insights
The model projects Royce Freeman to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (1.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.9% in games he has played).
When it comes to defensive tackles rushing the passer, New York's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to rush for 0.86 TDs in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Giants Insights
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Daniel Bellinger's 87.2% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a significant drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 91.2% figure.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in football.
Betting Trends
The New York Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)
The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
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