Raiders vs Colts Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 31st, 2023

a year ago

Editor

In a highly-anticipated matchup, the Las Vegas Raiders will face off against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium, the home of the Colts. The game is scheduled for Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

The Raiders will have one less day of rest compared to the Colts, which could potentially impact their preparation and recovery for the game. Additionally, the Raiders face the challenge of traveling cross-country and across three time zones, putting them at a disadvantage in this road game.

Both teams have exceeded expectations this season, with the Raiders currently holding a 7-8 record and the Colts standing at 8-7. The Colts have been playing well lately, winning eight of their last 15 games. On the other hand, the Raiders have struggled on the road, losing four out of their last five away games.

In their previous game, the Raiders secured a surprising victory against the Kansas City Chiefs, winning 20-14. This victory was considered an upset, as the Raiders were 11-point underdogs with only an 18% chance of winning. Meanwhile, the Colts suffered a loss to the Atlanta Falcons, falling 29-10.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 10 of the 2022 season, resulting in a road win for the Colts with a score of 25-20. It was an exciting game that came down to a single touchdown.

As the Colts play at home, they are considered slight favorites in this matchup. According to the odds, the Colts have a 63% chance of winning, while the Raiders have a 37% chance. The spread initially opened with the Colts favored by 3 points, but it has since moved to Colts -3.5, representing a relatively small shift.

Football fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly awaiting this game, as both teams look to secure a crucial victory. With the Raiders battling against the odds and the Colts aiming to continue their strong performance, it promises to be an exciting matchup on the gridiron.

Raiders Insights

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Davante Adams's 68.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 89.0 figure.
This week, Davante Adams is expected by the model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to WR with 0.51 receiving touchdowns.

Colts Insights

Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (79.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.4% in games he has played).
After accruing 67.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Pittman has undergone big improvement this season, now pacing 82.0 per game.
This year, the weak Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a colossal 4.72 YAC.

Betting Trends

The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)