Packers vs Vikings Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 31st, 2023

a year ago

Editor

The Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are set to face off in an important divisional matchup. Both teams will have extra motivation to win this game as they battle it out on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Packers currently hold a 7-8 record this season, while the Vikings also sit at 7-8. Both teams have struggled in recent games, with the Packers losing 8 of their last 15 and the Vikings losing 4 of their last 5.

In their last game, the Packers secured a victory against the Carolina Panthers with a final score of 33-30. On the other hand, the Vikings suffered a loss against the Detroit Lions, falling 30-24.

This is not the first time these two teams have faced each other this season. In Week 8, the Vikings emerged victorious with a 24-10 road win over the Packers. This rematch adds an extra layer of significance to the game, as the Packers will be seeking revenge.

The Vikings are currently considered slight favorites at home, with odds suggesting a 51% chance of them winning the game. The Packers, however, are not far behind with a 49% chance of victory. The initial spread opened at Vikings -2.5 but has since moved to Vikings -1, indicating some significant movement in betting patterns.

Both teams will be looking to turn their fortunes around and secure a much-needed win in this crucial divisional matchup. The stage is set for an intense battle between the Packers and the Vikings, and football fans can expect an exciting game on Sunday night.

Packers Insights

The leading projections forecast A.J. Dillon to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (28.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (49.7% in games he has played).
Romeo Doubs has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (74.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in football.

Vikings Insights

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 127.6 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
The Green Bay defensive ends project as the 6th-best collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Vikings have been among the leading passing offenses in the league this year (#5 overall), compiling a remarkable 273.0 adjusted yards per game through the air.

Betting Trends

The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)