Lions vs Vikings Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 24th, 2023

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated divisional matchup, the Detroit Lions will take on the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. Both teams will be motivated to secure a victory as they face off against familiar foes.

The Lions have exceeded expectations this season with a remarkable record of 10-4, putting them in a strong position heading into this game. They have displayed solid football in recent weeks, winning 7 of their last 10 games. In their previous outing, the Lions secured a convincing 42-17 victory over the Denver Broncos.

On the other hand, the Vikings hold a record of 7-7 this season. Despite a slightly lower win-loss record, they have also shown impressive form, winning 6 of their last 10 games. However, their most recent game resulted in a disappointing loss against the Cincinnati Bengals, with a final score of 27-24.

Interestingly, despite being on the road, the Lions are considered slight favorites for this matchup. The odds suggest that they have a 57% chance of winning, while the Vikings have a 43% chance. The spread initially opened with the Lions favored by 3.5 points, but it has since moved to Lions -2.5, indicating some noticeable movement driven by sharp action on the Vikings.

Both teams will benefit from an extra day of rest this week, allowing them more time to prepare and recover. As the Lions and Vikings go head-to-head, fans can expect a thrilling and competitive game between these divisional rivals.

Lions Insights

The projections expect the Lions to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Josh Reynolds's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 11.76 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 9.30 figure last season.
This year, the porous Vikings defense has allowed the 9th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a staggering 4.41 YAC.

Vikings Insights

The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup QB Nick Mullens in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
After totaling 59.0 air yards per game last season, T.J. Hockenson has gotten better this season, now sitting at 66.0 per game.
In posting an outstanding rate of 267.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 5th-best passing team in the league has been the Minnesota Vikings.

Betting Trends

The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 41% ROI)
The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)