Jets vs Patriots Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the New York Jets are set to battle the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. This game holds additional significance as both teams are divisional rivals, adding extra motivation to secure a victory. Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

The Jets will enter the game with three extra days of rest, providing them with valuable time to prepare and recover their strength. On the other hand, the Patriots will be playing on normal rest, which may give the Jets a slight advantage due to their additional rest.

Both teams have struggled to meet their preseason expectations, resulting in relatively disappointing seasons. The Jets currently hold a record of 6-10, while the Patriots stand at 4-12.

The Jets have faced difficulties on the road recently, losing their last four consecutive away games. Meanwhile, the Patriots have struggled in their home stadium, losing their last four consecutive home games.

In their previous encounter in Week 3 of this season, the Patriots emerged victorious with a 15-10 road win over the Jets. The Jets had difficulty scoring points in that game, but it was an exciting matchup that came down to a single touchdown.

According to the odds, the Patriots are considered slight favorites at home, with a 56% chance of winning compared to the Jets' 44% chance. The spread for the game opened at Patriots -2 and has remained unchanged.

As the Jets and Patriots take the field, both teams will be eager to bounce back from recent losses and end their seasons on a positive note. With divisional pride on the line, this game promises to deliver an exciting showdown between two storied rivals.

Jets Insights

The Jets may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Trevor Siemian.
Garrett Wilson has notched quite a few more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
The Jets have been among the weakest passing teams in the league this year (#24 overall), posting a paltry 212.0 adjusted yards per game through the air.

Patriots Insights

While Bailey Zappe has garnered 6.0% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New England's rushing attack in this week's game at 11.2%.
The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
In this contest, Ezekiel Elliott is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among running backs with 0.12 receiving TDs.

Betting Trends

The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
The New York Jets have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Tyler Conklin has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+2.50 Units / 13% ROI)