Jaguars vs Titans Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Jacksonville Jaguars will face off against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. As divisional foes, both teams have extra motivation to secure a victory in this game.

The Titans have had a disappointing season, falling short of their preseason expectations. Currently holding a record of 5-11, they come into the game on a three-game losing streak. On the other hand, the Jaguars have a 9-7 record and have won one consecutive game.

The Jaguars enter this game with mixed form, having lost four out of their last five matches. However, they are coming off a convincing win against the Carolina Panthers, where they secured a 26-0 victory. The Titans, on the other hand, suffered a 26-3 loss to the Houston Texans in their previous outing.

This game holds additional significance as these two teams faced each other earlier in the season during Week 11. The Jaguars emerged victorious with a dominant 34-14 win over the Titans. Notably, the Jaguars' defense achieved a rare feat by shutting out the Titans' offense, holding them to zero points.

Despite being on the road, the Jaguars are considered slight favorites in this matchup. The odds indicate that they have a 62% chance of winning, while the Titans have a 38% chance. The initial spread opened with the Jaguars favored by 3.5 points and has remained unchanged.

As fans eagerly await this divisional clash, both teams will be looking to make a statement and end their respective seasons on a positive note. The Jaguars aim to build on their recent win, while the Titans seek to snap their losing streak and redeem themselves from their previous defeat against Jacksonville.

Jaguars Insights

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 41.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
After accruing 0.0 air yards per game last season, Tim Jones has posted big gains this season, now boasting 8.0 per game.
In registering an excellent rate of 258.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 9th-best passing offense in the league has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Titans Insights

The projections expect Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the goal line in this game (17.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's CB corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 9th-best in football.
The projections expect Tyjae Spears to notch 0.19 receiving touchdowns this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Betting Trends

The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 48% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Ryan Tannehill has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)