Jaguars vs Buccaneers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 24th, 2023

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This clash between in-state rivals adds an extra level of significance to the game, as both teams will be fueled by the desire to secure victory.

Scheduled for Sunday at 4:05 PM ET, the game will be held at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' home stadium, Raymond James Stadium. The Buccaneers have been exceeding expectations this season, making it an exciting journey for their fans.

This season, the Jaguars have recorded a respectable 8-6 record, while the Buccaneers hold a 7-7 record. However, the recent performance of both teams tells a different story. The Buccaneers have been on a roll, winning three consecutive games, while the Jaguars have suffered three consecutive losses.

In their most recent game, the Jaguars fell to the Baltimore Ravens with a score of 23-7. On the other hand, the Buccaneers secured a convincing victory against the Green Bay Packers, winning with a score of 34-20. The Buccaneers' triumph was particularly noteworthy, as they defied the odds as 4-point underdogs with only a 36% chance of winning.

The last time these two teams faced each other was back in Week 13 of the 2019 season, making them relatively unfamiliar opponents. In their previous encounter, the Buccaneers emerged victorious with a 28-11 road win over the Jaguars.

Despite being on the road, the Jaguars are considered slight favorites for this matchup. The odds suggest that they have a 52% chance of winning, while the Buccaneers have a 48% chance. The initial spread opened at Jaguars -2.5, but it has since moved to Jaguars -1, which is a significant shift of 1.5 points.

Jaguars Insights

While Parker Washington has accounted for 6.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Jacksonville's passing offense in this contest at 16.0%.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.
In this week's contest, Calvin Ridley is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideout with 0.52 receiving touchdowns.

Buccaneers Insights

The Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year at opening holes for rushers.
Baker Mayfield has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.57 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the league.

Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 21 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+8.50 Units / 58% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)