Falcons vs Saints Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Atlanta Falcons will face off against the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. This game holds significant importance as both teams are divisional rivals, adding an extra level of motivation to secure the victory.

The game will take place at the Caesars Superdome, the home stadium of the New Orleans Saints. The Falcons have had a somewhat disappointing season with a record of 7-9, while the Saints have managed to achieve an 8-8 record.

Recently, the Saints have been performing well, winning three out of their last four games. On the other hand, the Falcons have struggled, losing nine out of their last 15 games. In their previous game, the Falcons suffered a loss against the Chicago Bears, with a final score of 37-17. In contrast, the Saints emerged victorious in their last game, defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a score of 23-13.

This matchup holds additional significance as the two teams faced each other earlier this season in Week 12. The Falcons managed to secure a home win against the Saints, with a final score of 24-15. The Saints, being the home team this time, will be looking to avenge their previous loss.

The odds favor the Saints as the slight favorite at home. Currently, the odds suggest that the Saints have a 60% chance of winning the game, while the Falcons have a 40% chance. The initial spread opened with the Saints favored by 4 points, but it has since moved to a 3-point spread, indicating noticeable movement.

As the game approaches, fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating this divisional clash between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints. With the Saints seeking revenge and the Falcons looking to maintain their winning record against their rivals, this Sunday afternoon showdown is set to be a thrilling encounter.

Falcons Insights

The Falcons have thrown the ball 2.5% more in their 4 games With Taylor Heinicke at quarterback this season than they have in 12 games With him.
MyCole Pruitt's pass-game efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 9.84 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 8.62 figure last season.
In this contest, Bijan Robinson is projected by the model to position himself in the 96th percentile among running backs with 0.16 receiving TDs.

Saints Insights

The model projects Jamaal Williams to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (55.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.2% in games he has played).
Chris Olave has put up far more air yards this season (125.0 per game) than he did last season (114.0 per game).
This year, the formidable Atlanta Falcons pass defense has conceded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a measly 3.6 YAC.

Betting Trends

The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)