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Cowboys vs Dolphins Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 24th, 2023

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In recent weeks, the Cowboys have showcased their strong form, winning 7 out of their last 10 games. However, their last game resulted in a loss against the Buffalo Bills, with a final score of 31-10. On the other hand, the Dolphins have also been playing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games. In their previous game, they emerged victorious against the New York Jets, shutting them out with a score of 30-0.

The last time these two teams faced each other was in Week 3 of the 2019 season, making them relatively unfamiliar with each other's playing styles. In that game, the Cowboys secured a dominant home victory, defeating the Dolphins 31-6. The Dolphins struggled to score points in that matchup, resulting in a blowout win for the Cowboys with a 25-point margin.

As the game takes place at Hard Rock Stadium, the Dolphins hold a slight advantage as the home team. The odds currently suggest that the Dolphins have a 52% chance of winning, while the Cowboys have a 48% chance. The spread, which opened at Dolphins -1, has remained unchanged.

This highly anticipated game between the Cowboys and the Dolphins promises to be an exciting battle as both teams look to continue their successful seasons. Football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to see which team will come out on top in this evenly matched contest.

Cowboys Insights

  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Dallas Cowboys grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

  • Dak Prescott's 270.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a noteworthy progression in his throwing ability over last season's 241.0 rate.

  • The model projects CeeDee Lamb to accrue 0.56 receiving TDs in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile amongwhen it comes to WRs.

Dolphins Insights

  • While Jeff Wilson has garnered 11.9% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Miami's rushing attack in this week's contest at 0.7%.

  • Tyreek Hill has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (109.0 per game) than he did last year (131.0 per game).

  • This year, the daunting Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a mere 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Betting Trends

  • The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)

  • Jaylen Waddle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)

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