Cowboys vs Commanders Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In a highly-anticipated matchup, the Dallas Cowboys are set to take on the Washington Commanders at FedExField, the home stadium of the Commanders. This divisional showdown adds an extra layer of significance, as both teams will be motivated to secure a victory.

Scheduled for Sunday at 4:25 PM ET, the game will be held at FedExField, which is the second-largest stadium in the NFL. The Commanders will have the advantage of a potentially louder crowd, thanks to the size of their home stadium.

The Cowboys will enter the game with an extra day of rest, providing them with more time to prepare and recover. On the other hand, the Commanders will be playing on normal rest, giving the Cowboys a potential advantage in terms of freshness.

The Commanders have had a challenging season, struggling to meet their preseason expectations with a record of 4-12. In contrast, the Cowboys have enjoyed a successful season, boasting an 11-5 record.

The Commanders have endured a seven-game losing streak, while the Cowboys have won their last game. The Cowboys have been playing solid football recently, winning 10 of their last 15 games. Meanwhile, the Commanders enter the game on a cold streak, having lost seven consecutive games.

In their previous encounter in Week 12 of this season, the Cowboys emerged victorious with a dominant 45-10 win over the Commanders. This rematch holds additional significance, as the Commanders will be seeking revenge for their previous defeat.

Despite being on the road, the Cowboys are considered massive favorites in this game. The odds suggest that they have an 86% chance of winning, while the Commanders have a 14% chance.

As the game approaches, football fans and sports bettors alike will eagerly anticipate this divisional clash between the Cowboys and the Commanders. The outcome of this game could have significant implications for both teams as they look to end their respective seasons on a high note.

Cowboys Insights

The projections expect Dak Prescott to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game near the end zone in this game (15.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).
Dak Prescott's 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a material progression in his passing proficiency over last season's 241.0 figure.
In averaging a remarkable rate of 274.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year, the 4th-best passing offense in the league has been the Cowboys.

Commanders Insights

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have 133.3 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
Terry McLaurin has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (88.0 per game).
This week, Terry McLaurin is predicted by the projection model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to WR with 0.28 receiving touchdowns.

Betting Trends

The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)