Buccaneers vs Panthers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. As divisional rivals, both teams will have extra motivation to secure a victory in this game.

Scheduled for Sunday at 1:00 PM ET, the Buccaneers enter this game with a record of 8-8, surpassing preseason expectations and enjoying a relatively successful season. On the other hand, the Panthers have struggled to meet their preseason expectations, holding a disappointing 2-14 record.

The Buccaneers have been playing solid football recently, winning four of their last five games. However, the Panthers have struggled, losing 13 of their last 15 games. In their previous outing, the Buccaneers suffered a defeat against the New Orleans Saints, losing 23-13. Similarly, the Panthers were handed a loss by the Jacksonville Jaguars, with a final score of 26-0.

These two teams faced each other earlier in the season in Week 13, adding extra significance to this game as a revenge opportunity. The Buccaneers emerged victorious in their previous encounter, securing a narrow 21-18 win. The game was highly exciting, coming down to a single field goal.

Despite playing on the road, the Buccaneers are considered the favorites in this matchup. The odds suggest that they have a 66% chance of winning, while the Panthers have a 34% chance. The initial spread opened with the Buccaneers favored by 5.5 points, but it has since shifted to Buccaneers -4, indicating a significant movement.

Both teams will be looking to make a statement in this divisional showdown. The Buccaneers aim to continue their strong season, while the Panthers seek to turn their fortunes around. With revenge on the line, this game promises to be a thrilling contest between two divisional foes.

Buccaneers Insights

While Sean Tucker has garnered 15.2% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in Tampa Bay's run game in this game at 0.1%.
The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The leading projections forecast Rachaad White to run for 0.51 TDs this week, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Panthers Insights

Accounting for the game dynamics and traits of each team, the model projects this game (with an average of 26.89 seconds per play) will chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.
Adam Thielen's 76.2% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive growth in his receiving talent over last year's 68.2% rate.
The Buccaneers defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 9th-most in the league.

Betting Trends

The Carolina Panthers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Mike Evans has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)