Browns vs Texans Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 24th, 2023

a year ago

Editor

The Cleveland Browns are set to face off against the Houston Texans in an exciting matchup on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET. The game will take place at NRG Stadium, the home stadium of the Texans.

Both teams have exceeded expectations this season, making it a compelling showdown. The Browns have a record of 9-5, while the Texans hold a record of 8-6. The Browns have been in great form lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Texans have been strong at home, winning 4 of their last 5 games at NRG Stadium.

In their previous game, the Browns secured a victory against the Chicago Bears with a score of 20-17. The Texans also emerged victorious in their last game, defeating the Tennessee Titans 19-16. The Texans' win was particularly impressive, as they were considered underdogs and had only a 40% chance of winning according to the odds.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 13 of the 2022 season, where the Browns triumphed over the Texans with a road win of 27-14. Despite being initially considered underdogs, the Browns are now favored to win the upcoming game, with odds suggesting a 60% chance of victory for them compared to a 40% chance for the Texans.

The point spread initially favored the Texans by 2.5 points, but it has since shifted to favor the Browns by 3 points. This significant line movement indicates that sharp bettors are backing the Browns and that sportsbooks may have a liability if the Texans cover the spread.

With the Browns' strong season and recent success, they have become the favorites in this matchup against the Texans. However, anything can happen in football, and the Texans will be determined to prove themselves on their home turf. It's sure to be an exciting game for both fans and bettors alike.

Browns Insights

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the projections to call 68.2 offensive plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
After accumulating 96.0 air yards per game last year, Amari Cooper has seen a big uptick this year, currently sitting at 106.0 per game.
The predictive model expects David Njoku to accumulate 0.35 receiving TDs in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Texans Insights

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
When it comes to defensive ends rushing the passer, Cleveland's DE corps has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.
This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a puny 5.7 YAC.

Betting Trends

The Houston Texans have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.90 Units / 38% ROI)
The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Kareem Hunt has hit the Longest Rush Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 36% ROI)