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Browns vs Bengals Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Cleveland Browns will face off against the Cincinnati Bengals. This divisional clash between two in-state rivals adds an extra layer of significance to the game, as both teams will be motivated to secure a victory.

The Browns will enter the game with three additional days of rest, granting them more time to prepare and recover. This could potentially give them an advantage over the Bengals, who will be playing on normal rest.

The Browns have had a remarkable season, surpassing preseason expectations with a record of 11-5. On the other hand, the Bengals have struggled to meet their preseason expectations, posting a record of 8-8.

The Browns are currently riding a four-game winning streak, showcasing their strong form. In their last game, they secured a convincing 37-20 victory over the New York Jets. Meanwhile, the Bengals have struggled recently, losing two out of their last three games, including a 25-17 defeat at the hands of the Kansas City Chiefs.

These two teams previously met in Week 1 of the season, adding an extra layer of significance to this game. The Browns emerged victorious with a dominant 24-3 win over the Bengals, who struggled to put points on the board.

The Bengals are considered significant favorites at home, with the odds suggesting a 75% chance of them winning the game. The spread opened with the Bengals favored by 4.5 points but has since moved to Bengals -7.5, indicating significant movement and support for the Bengals from sharp bettors.

As the game approaches, all eyes will be on this exciting matchup between the Browns and the Bengals. With the Browns exceeding expectations and the Bengals aiming for redemption, football fans can expect an intense battle on the field.

Browns Insights

  • The Cleveland Browns will be forced to start backup QB Jeff Driskel this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

  • The Bengals safeties project as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • The Bengals pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Bengals Insights

  • The projections expect Joe Mixon to be a less important option in his offense's run game in this week's game (59.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.0% in games he has played).

  • Ja'Marr Chase's play as a receiver has worsened this year, totaling a measly 6.4 adjusted receptions compared to 7.4 last year.

  • The Bengals have ranked among the leading passing teams in football this year (#7 overall), registering a terrific 262.0 adjusted yards per game through the air.

Betting Trends

  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)

  • Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)

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