Broncos vs Raiders Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In an exciting divisional matchup, the Denver Broncos will take on the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET. Both teams will be motivated for the win as they face off against familiar foes.

The Denver Broncos have had a solid season, posting an 8-8 record. They have been playing well recently, winning seven of their last ten games. In their most recent outing, they triumphed over the Los Angeles Chargers with a 16-9 victory.

On the other hand, the Las Vegas Raiders have struggled with consistency, holding a 7-9 record for the season. They have lost nine out of their last 15 games, including their latest matchup against the Indianapolis Colts, where they fell short with a 23-20 score.

This game holds additional significance as it is a rematch from Week 1 of the season. The Raiders emerged victorious in their previous encounter, securing a narrow 17-16 road win over the Broncos. The game was a tightly contested battle, with the outcome decided by a single field goal.

Oddsmakers have favored the Raiders to win this rematch, giving them a 60% chance of victory. The point spread initially opened at Raiders -2.5 but has since moved to Raiders -3, indicating a slight shift in favor of Las Vegas. While a 0.5 point movement may seem minor, it can have an impact on betting outcomes.

With the Broncos seeking revenge and the Raiders looking to maintain their edge, this game promises to be a thrilling showdown. Will the Broncos overturn their previous loss, or will the Raiders secure another home victory? Football fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly watching to find out.

Broncos Insights

The Broncos will be starting backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's group of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has not been good when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 7.39 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the league.

Raiders Insights

While Zamir White has accounted for 21.1% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Las Vegas's running game in this week's contest at 78.0%.
Davante Adams's 74.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a significant reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 89.0 mark.
In averaging a miserable rate of 301.0 adjusted yards per game this year, the 10th-worst offense in football has been the Raiders.

Betting Trends

The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)