Bills vs Chargers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - December 23rd, 2023

a year ago

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The Buffalo Bills are set to face off against the Los Angeles Chargers in a highly anticipated matchup. This Saturday at 8:00 PM ET, football fans will be treated to a rare Saturday game, which is likely to draw a larger audience and add more pressure on both teams to secure a victory.

The game will take place at SoFi Stadium, the home stadium of the Los Angeles Chargers. Interestingly, the Chargers will have two extra days of rest this week, providing them with more time to prepare and recover for the game. On the other hand, the Bills will have one less day of rest, which may impact their preparation and recovery leading up to the matchup.

The Bills will face the challenge of traveling cross-country and across three time zones for this road game, which could potentially put them at a disadvantage. However, their recent performance on the field has been impressive, winning three out of their last four games.

In contrast, the Chargers have struggled to meet their preseason expectations, currently holding a record of 5-9. They have also faced difficulties at home, losing their last three consecutive home games.

The last time these two teams met was in Week 12 of the 2020 season, resulting in a home win for the Bills with a score of 27-17. Despite being on the road, the Bills are considered massive favorites to win this game, with the odds suggesting an 85% chance of victory for them, compared to a 15% chance for the Chargers.

The spread initially opened with the Bills as 10-point favorites, but it has since moved to Bills -12.5, indicating that sharp bettors are backing the Bills. This significant movement in the spread also suggests that sportsbooks have a considerable liability and are likely rooting for the Chargers to cover the spread.

As the game approaches, all eyes will be on the Buffalo Bills and the Los Angeles Chargers as they battle it out on the field. With the added pressure of a Saturday game and the stakes high for both teams, it promises to be an exciting matchup for football fans and sports bettors alike.

Bills Insights

Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game near the end zone in this game (30.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (18.1% in games he has played).
Gabriel Davis has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (73.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).
This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

Chargers Insights

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
Los Angeles's ground effectiveness (3.58 adjusted yards per carry) places among the bottom offenses in the league this year (5th-worst).

Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
The Buffalo Bills have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games (+0.80 Units / 3% ROI)