Bears vs Packers Betting Trends, Odds, and Insights - January 7th, 2024

a year ago

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In a highly anticipated matchup, the Chicago Bears will face off against the Green Bay Packers. This game holds significant importance as it features two divisional rivals, adding an extra layer of motivation for both teams. Kickoff is scheduled for Sunday at 4:25 PM ET at Lambeau Field, the home stadium of the Packers, which is known to be the third-largest stadium in the NFL.

The Bears enter the game with a season record of 7-9, while the Packers stand at 8-8. Both teams have shown strong performances in recent games, with the Bears winning four of their last five matchups and the Packers winning six of their last ten.

In their previous game, the Bears secured a victory against the Atlanta Falcons with a score of 37-17. Meanwhile, the Packers triumphed over the Minnesota Vikings with a convincing 33-10 win. The last time these two teams faced off was in Week 1 of the season, adding an element of revenge to this matchup.

When these teams last met, the Packers emerged victorious, defeating the Bears 38-20 on the road. Notably, the Packers displayed a strong offensive showing in their previous encounter.

As for the odds, the Packers are considered the slight favorites, with a 59% chance of winning the game, while the Bears have a 41% chance of coming out on top. The spread initially opened at Packers -3 and has remained unchanged.

This game promises to be a highly competitive battle between two divisional foes. As the Bears and Packers vie for victory, the large and passionate crowd at Lambeau Field could provide the Packers with a significant home field advantage. With the stakes raised by the divisional rivalry and the revenge factor, fans can expect an exhilarating game on Sunday.

Bears Insights

While Justin Fields has earned 13.0% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Chicago's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 34.9%.
D.J. Moore has accrued far more air yards this year (100.0 per game) than he did last year (90.0 per game).
This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 10th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a staggering 5.30 YAC.

Packers Insights

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Chicago's group of safeties has been great this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

Betting Trends

The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)