NBA Bet of the Day | December 30, 2023

In this column, I’ll go through the BEST BET I’m seeing in the league today; this can be in a spread, a moneyline, an Over/Under, or a player prop.

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OVERALL RECORD: 97-64-2, +27.49u
RECAP: Yesterday was definitely one of the bigger slates of the season, but we only found value in two of the games. We got demolished in our NBA of the Day article, as the Knicks decided not to show up against a perky Magic team that they had no business losing to. We then went against the Sharp Report and took the late money on the Phoenix over, and cashed that about halfway through the fourth quarter. Overall, we went 1-1 in our two plays yesterday.

December 30, 2023

We’ve been searching all day for a bet, and we finally found our winner in the total in Chicago. We’re seeing Sharp Money on the Bulls at -1 right now according to our Sharp Report, but let’s try and get in front of some potential line movement as the day continues. 

The Bulls are hosting the depleted 76ers, two teams that are without their big men in this contest tonight. The absence of Vucevic and Embiid will definitely be noticeable, but we’re pretty confident in this bet because of the line movement. When this game opened, we saw it open at 225.5, and slowly move down to 224.5 throughout the day. We’re going to take that line movement and double down on it for tonight’s matchup.

The under is also showing huge value when it comes to our Sharp App money handles tool, as we’re seeing the under being hit with 36% of the total bets, but 67% of the total money on the game throughout our books that we track. That’s a difference of 31% and a play that also follows line movement. Our Sharp AI also tracks this game at 224, so if all goes well, we should win with the hook - but I anticipate solid defense in this one, as the Bulls are well-rested and will have the advantage in rest. 

Both of these teams are also positive when it comes to the over, which means that regression is bound to happen. And even more important: as the home favorite, which the Chicago Bulls are, the under is 7-3 on the season! That’s a huge discrepancy that we can capitalize on. 

The Bulls have also hit four straight unders, many of those coming at home. That’s big for the under as well, and these defenses, as stated before, have been elite over their last five. 

Let’s take the under here where all signs are pointing, and even if it’s more obvious than not, I love that we’re getting it at this 224.5 number before it inevitably drops lower and lower. 

PICK: Philadelphia/Chicago under 224.5

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