Anthony P's NBA Model January 3, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 3, 2023

The Model was on point yesterday in Minnesota, the under in Charlotte, and Miami. The Hawks also looked good but crashed!

We have no value in this small slate. A couple of unders are showing little value in OKC and Utah and the total did move down. The sharp report is also showing sharp interest on the under in Utah however they scored 251 points last time they met 4 days ago and there was little defense in that game. The Kings are 4th in pace with 102 possession per 48 minutes and the Jazz kept up with the pace last game. Both teams are in the bottom 7 in defensive metrics and pts allowed per 100 possession. I also wrote about this game in the Overnight Grind if you want more info

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