Anthony P's NBA Model January 2, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 2, 2023

The both unders that the model liked yesterday cashed in. It was a close one in Denver however easier in Memphis.

The model likes 4 games and I covered Minnesota's and the LA Clippers games in the Overnight Grind article.

As for the under 242 in Charlotte it's a big number however the way the Lakers have been scoring they can easier put in 130+ versus the 4th worst defense the Hornets have displayed this year. I also don't understand why the Lakers are underdogs here with James being probable tonight. I understand the Lakers have recently struggled on the road and this will be their 5 straight road game, however, they've been playing better ball. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Charlotte. I can't support the under with the Charlotte game.

The Hawks are also showing value but got beat up in the last 3 games losing with an ATS margin of 16 pts in 2 of their last 3. Nonetheless all the Warriors injuries, they won 4 straight and played outstanding defense by allowing under 110 pts in each of the 4 games. The books weren't too sure how to price this game yesterday. DK opened at -3, Bookmaker at -1.5, and Betonline at -2.5. Bookmaker did move their line at -3 however smart money landed on that number and moved the line down to -1.5. Atlanta dropped their last 3 games on the road and are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Hawks can get a boost if Hunter plays tonight but he's still questionable with an ankle injury.

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