Anthony P's NBA Model January 14, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 14, 2023

I won't take credit for the value plays yesterday. Yes, they showed value however, as explained, it was a mess to come up with an accurate projection with all the missing players.

The only value play I see is on the Pacers and you can literally go back to yesterday's write-up about the Pacers and Hawks and add that the Pacers are playing on a b2b. If it weren't for the injuries I would take Indiana more seriously on a b2b. They are 6-1 SU and 5-1 ATS on no rest.

Memphis won 8 straight and is the hottest team in the NBA, however, didn't cover their last 3 games. The Grizzlies haven't had much success in Indiana as of late and this is a good spot for them.


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