Anthony P's NBA Model January 13, 2023

As we continue to build the app and make it more robust, we will add new sports and models. While our developers work on that, we want to give you as much information as possible via content and articles.

I will post my MLB, NFL, and NHL models as often as possible.

Reading the model is very simple. We are looking for EVs of over 5% on sides and 8 to 10% on totals. Sportsbooks tend to inflate lines on big favorites. I love to take a big underdog in those spots if they have a good pitcher on the mount and if the game is on home turf.

You should all play around with these and track them yourselves. See if you are seeing those with a significant edge losing often.

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NBA BETTING MODEL FOR JAN 13, 2023

OKC showed up big last night and we were on point with the analysis. The Nets are nothing with Durant. It will get interesting to see how the books will be pricing them in the next week or so.

I will break down the 2 value plays by 2 pm this afternoon. We have value in the Pacers and Nuggets.

We covered the Nuggets in the Overnight Grind. The Nuggets are not a play if Jokic doesn't play therefore it's useless to break down this game without that info.

We kinda find ourselves in a similar situation with the Pacers being underdogs at home to an Atlanta team that is 6-22 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. However, the Pacers have Neshmith, Turner, and Brissett questionable for tonight's game while Young is probable for the Hawks. Let's not forget that the Pacers are still without Haliburton and he won't be back until late January or early February. Offensively that is the biggest blow for the Pacers. I'd stay away from these value plays until we have a better idea of who's playing tonight.


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